Multibagger Stock Trade – RS Software for Electronic Payment Machinery Solutions

    • RS Software is a chief in providing machinery solutions to the electronic payment industry. Founded in 1991 to provide customized service solutions to the electronic payment industry. At present RS Software has emerged as a strong enterprise with a client base comprising of world’s top payment brands like Visa, Visa EU, Visa CEMEA, Maclane, Pemco, Vignon. It has carved out a niche to bring to the market place, the combination of its expertise in global outsourcing and the domain knowledge in electronic payment transactions.
    • RS Software reported a revenue growth of 31.76% and profit after tax growth of 32.4% in FY12. Total net operating revenues increased with 31.78%, from INR 188.3 Crs to INR 248.15 Crs. For Q1FY13, the company reported a revenue growth of 40.5%yoy and profit after tax growth of 80%yoy. Total net operating revenues increased with 31.78%, from Rs.188.3 Crs to Rs.248.15 Crs. Also, it outperformed the Indian software export industry growth by a factor of 1.5x in fiscal 2011-12.  Cash flows are strong and likely to grow in the future.
    • Departure to the fore, the electronic payments industry is approaching USD 300 billion. Payments companies spend a huge amount on technology infrastructure and reducing these costs by even one percent liberates millions of dollars for onward reinvestment. Consequently, many global payments organizations possess a technology infrastructure appetite that outpaces the growth of their business. R.S. Software is attractively positioned to capitalize on this global phenomenon.
  • RS Software at present maintains a RoE of ~32% and RoA of ~31% during FY12. Currently, the market values the company at a much lower multiple compared to its counterparts. The current stock trading at P/E of 6.3xFY13E whereas the industry P/E is 19.3xFY13E. With the EPS of 27, there are no perceivable risks in the stock except being a mid cap it does suffer from some volatility. We Bet RS Software market share Grab at Rs. 160 for the Target Rs. 300 in Time Frame of 6-8 Months.

Multibagger Stock – Madras Cements Ltd.

Madras Cements Ltd

  • Madras Cements Ltd People well known as Ramco Cement is a flagship company of the Ramco Group is a business group of South India. It is headquartered at Chennai, Tamilnadu State.  The main product of the company is Production of Portland cement. The company is the fifth largest cement producer in the country.
  • Madras Cemets Ltd has registered decent numbers for the quarter ending March 2012. The company has reported a rise of 25.14% in its net profit at Rs 123.01 crore for the quarter, as compared to Rs 98.30 crore for the same quarter in the previous year. Total income from operations of the company has increased by 29.56% to Rs 995.27 crore for Q1FY13 compared to Rs.768.21 crore for the quarter ended June 30, 2011.
  • Madras Cement Ltd {MCL} posted a sharp growth of 21% in volumes depicting increased cement demand in its key markets i.e. Tamil Nadu, Karnataka and Kerala. Operating profit zoomed about 26% at Rs.312.70 crore as compared to Rs.248.38 crore clocked in the like quarter last year. A realization too has improved about 7% in the quarter. EPS stood higher at Rs.5.17 as against Rs.4.13 in Q1FY12.
  • MCL has commissioned its 2 mtpa cement grinding capacity at Ariyalur which lead to 21.78% and 14% (y-o-y) rise in depreciation and power & fuel cost respectively. The revenue of the cement division stood at Rs.948.33 crore; up by 29.54% on a y-o-y basis. The revenue from its power (windmills) division rose by 27.65% at Rs.40.95 crore as compared to Rs.32.08 crore in year ago quarter.
  • Among strong presence in South India, growing volumes and reducing costs and higher realizations; MCL growth prospects looks attractive. We believe Madras Cement Ltd. is trading at an attractive valuation at 10.62 x and 9.37x of FY13EPS of Rs.17.55 and FY14EPS of Rs.19.89. We initiate a ‘Buy stock’ with the stock target price of Rs.240 (appreciation of about 29%) with the medium to long term investment horizon.
  • Madras Cements (MCL) was established in 1957, is part of Ramco Group, a well known business group of South India. It is based at Chennai. The company is the fifth largest cement producer in the country. Ramco Super grade is the most popular cement brand in South India.

Business area of the company:

  • The main product of the company is Portland cement manufactured through the five advanced production facilities spread over South India. The cement capacity is 10.49 million tons per annum.
  • The company also produces Ready Mix Concrete and Dry Mortar products. In addition, the company also operates one of the largest wind farms in the country.

 Integrated Cement Plants

  • Ramasamy Raja Nagar, Virudhunagar, Ariyalur, Govindapuram, Ariyalur District, Alathiyur, Ariyalur District of Tamil Nadu State.
  • Jayanthipuram, Andhra Pradesh
  • Mathodu, Chitradurga District, Karnataka

Grinding Units

  • Uthiramerur, Kanchipuram District, Valapady, Salem District in Tamil Nadu State
  • Kolaghat, Purba Medinipur District, West Bengal

Packing Terminals

  • Nagercoil Packing Unit, Kumarapuram, Aralvaimozhi, Kanyakumari District, Tamil Nadu
  • Hyderabad Packing Plant, Pochampally Road, Malkapur, Nalgonda District, Andhra Pradesh
  • Today Madras Cements Ltd is not only one of the most respected cement companies in the country but also leads in giving the best return for the investors. With a cement capacity of 10.49 million tons per annum, the company is the fifth largest producer of cement in India. It is also one of the largest wind energy producers in the country with a capacity of 185.59 MW.
  • We Bet The Share Grab Around 188 For Long Term Investment Horizon 240 for 9-12 Months Time Period.

Nifty Outlook & FII Derivative Data – 10 October’2012

The Bse Index Shuts at 18794 up 85 points from its Previous Close or +0.45%. The Nse Index Shuts at 5705 up 29 Points from its Previous Close or +0.50%.

  • Daily Chart Indicates Nifty closed 5690 which suggest reversal signal. On daily chart Rsi & Cci given reversal buy signal while macd is at down side break out. Trend and momentum is bullish on end of day chart for Nifty.

FII Derivative Data:

  • FII bought 2375 Contracts of Index Future, worth -6.88 cores with net OI increasing by 8405 contracts. As FII were buyers but net amount came as negative which means FII sold in Opening and bought at the far end of session. Consider the following example Sell 9 unit at Rs 7 and Buy 10 Unit at 6 so net units comes as 1 and value comes to Rs-4.
  • Nifty Future was up by 22 points and Open Interest in Index Futures increased by 8405, so FII have booked profits in shorts in Nifty and Bank Nifty Futures. Fresh longs have not been created as nifty is moving in sideways zone after big rally from 5200-5800.
  • Nifty Spot closed at 5705 after making a high of 5729 and unable to move above the previous swing low of 5740 which shows it was a fake breakout above 5740. Gap filling of 5650-5683 has started and gap of 5650 did not got filled today, but should be filled in this week as per gap theory.
  • Resistance for Nifty has come up to 5715 and 5730 which needs to be watched closely ,Support now exists at 5678 and 5650 .Trend is Sell on Rise till 5752 is not broken on closing basis.
  • Nifty Future October Open Interest is at 2.62 cores with unwinding of 0.30 Lakh in OI, Shorts did profit booking in Nifty future.
  • F&O turnover was at 1.12 lakh Cores with total contract traded at 2.17 lakh, PCR at 1.04 and VIX at 16.80, VIX is also trading at its lower end of range and a up move till 18.5-19 is on cards.
  • 5800 CALL  is having highest Open Interest of 73 lakhs with fresh addition of 3.1 lakhs in OI and Premium at 41.6000 CE Open Interest at 70 is second highest  lakhs,  and  6100 calls got unwounded today as premium moved from 8 to rs 2 .5400-6100 CE  added 5.9 lakhs in Open Interest.
  • 5600 PUT is having highest Open Interest of 64 lakhs with addition of 3.2 lakhs in OI and premium at 31.5, Bulls were just able to defend 5700 with addition of 2.9 lakhs. 5400-6100 PE added 8.3 lakhs in Open Interest.
  • FII bought 613.98 cores and DII sold 430.60 cores in cash segment, INR closed at at 52.54.FII sold 87 cores in Stock Futures.
  • Nifty Futures Trend Deciding level is 5698(For Intraday Traders), Trend Changer at 5748 NF(For Positional Traders). (Above this Level Bulls will rule Nifty/Below this levels Bears have upper hand). We have done 2 successful trades in past 2 days with trend changer level each 50 points..
  • 5 DMA at 5729
  • 20 DMA at 5619
  • 50 DMA at 5424
  • 200 DMA at 5209
  • 5 Days Relative Strengthen Index at 52 and 14 Days Relative Strengthen Index at 63 Indicates Nifty placed in BULLISH Zone.

Nifty Spot Support & Resistance:

Nifty Resistance at It has the First resistance close to the level 5711 and above the level marks the track point at 5733 later zipper levels at 5755 marks.

Nifty Support at It has the First support close to the level 5688 and below the level marks the track point at 5666 later zipper levels at 5622 marks.

Nifty Future Momentum Call for 10 Oct’2012:

Buy Nifty Future above 5733 sl 5711 Tgt 5755-5777 {Or} Sell Below 5711 sl 5733 Tgt 5688-5666

Bank Nifty Future Momentum Call for 10 Oct’2012:

Buy Above 11535 sl 11488 Tgt 1575-11625 {Or} Sell Below 11444 sl 11488 Tgt 11355-11266

Multibagger – Alembic Pharmaceuticals

ALEMBIC PHARMACEUTICALS

  • Alembic Pharmaceuticals, a medium upright integrated and research based pharma company, is part of the Alembic group (flagship company being Alembic Ltd., which holds 29.18% stake in the company) having interests in power generation, real estate, specialty chemicals & engineering solutions.
  • Alembic Pharma has many business segments such as active pharmaceutical ingredients (API), bulk pharma chemicals, formulations, herbal nutraceuticals, veterinary, contract research services, of which, domestic formulations accounts for the largest pie, with little over half of company revenues, followed by international API.
  • The company has formulations plant at Baddi in Himachal Pradesh. In the branded formulations space, company enjoys a strong presence in anti-infective, pain management, cough & cold. Besides thrust on cardiology, gynecology, diabetes, orthopedics, ophthalmology and rheumatology, it has newly launched dermatology division.
  • Enjoying market share of 1.62%, its 4 brands, viz. Azithral, Roxid, Althrocin, and Wikoryl, feature in the top 300 brands of the industry.
  • It operates its international division from 3 US FDA approved API plants and has cumulative ANDA filings of 49, with 20 approvals (including two tentative approvals), indicating a strong pipeline.
  • Since of 30th June 2012, its equity stood at Rs. 37.70 crore comprising of 18.85 crore shares of face value Rs. 2 each. Of this, promoter holding is 74.13%, institutional holding 7.62%, while balance 18.25% is public float.
  • For FY12, company reported consolidated income from operations of Rs. 1,466 crore and PAT of Rs. 130 crore, with EPS for the year of Rs. 6.90. This entails net margin of 8.9%. EBITDA for the year stood at Rs. 255 crore, entailing healthy margins of 17.3%.
  • Throughout the first quarter of FY13, company maintained consistency in its financial performance, with consolidated income from operations increased to Rs. 368 crore, up 7% QoQ from Rs. 343 crore in 3 months ended 31st March 2012.
  • For the period of Q1FY13, EBITDA stood at Rs. 61 crore, up from Rs. 50 crore in the immediately preceding quarter, strengthening margin to 16.6% from 14.7%. PAT jumped 51% to Rs. 31 crore, from barely Rs. 20 crore in Q4FY12. EPS for Q1FY13 was Rs. 1.64.
  • Since of 30th June 2012, company’s networth was Rs. 426 crore, while its current market cap is Rs. 1,338 crore. Company is expected to close FY13 with 10-12% top line growth and ~15% PAT growth, which leads to EPS of close to Rs 8 and PE of 9x. For FY14, expected top line is Rs 2,000 crore with EPS of about Rs 10.
  • We Bet the Share Grab Around Rs. 70 For The Target 90 in 12 Months Time Frame.

Nifty out Look & FII Derivative Data – 25 September’2012

The Bse Index Shuts at 18,674 down – 80 Points from its Previous Close or -0.42%. The Nse Index Shuts at 5670 down by -22 Points from its Previous Close or -0.38%.

  • Top Nse India Gainers were: Bhel,  Jindal Steel, Maruti and M&M.
  • Top Nse India Losers Were: Hdfc, Ongc, Sail and Itc.

FII Derivative Data:

  • FII sold 5167 Contracts of Index Future, worth 129.87 cores with net OI increasing by Huge 74249 contracts.
  • As Nifty Future was down by 25 points and Open Interest in Index Futures increased by 30452, FII have started booking profits on Index Future longs in Nifty and Bank Nifty Futures.
  • Nifty Spot closed at 5670 after making a high of 5710 and unable to break 5720, Bulls are in control of market and traders are getting overconfidence on taking longs which should be treated as caution whenever over optimism comes in market time to be cautious .Stock markets moves in direction which give maximum pain to traders to short term traders. So trade with strict stoploss as we are approaching expiry. After big rise on Friday we had a session of consolidation today.
  • Resistance for Nifty has come up to 5700 and 5720which needs to be watched closely, Support now exists at 5648 and 5618 .Trend is Buy on Dips till 5547 is not broken on closing basis.
  • Nifty Future September Open Interest is at 2.15 cores with a unwinding of 6.8 Lakh in OI, profit booking in longs is seen in Nifty future .Rollovers have started in NIfty Futures with addition of 21 lakhs in October series. Fresh longs are created in October series.
  • Total F&O turnover was 1.71 lakh Cores with total contract traded at 2.22 lakh. PCR at 0.95 and VIX   at 18.83.
  • 5800 CE is having highest Open Interest of 76 lakhs with fresh addition of 15 lakhs in OI.5700 CE Open Interest at 70  lakhs, with addition of 3 lakhs. Immediate support is at 5648 as 5600 CE sheded 3 lakhs as per Open Interest table.  5300-5900 CE added 12 lakhs in Open Interest.
  • 5600 PE added 3 lakh in Open Interest total OI at 78 Lakhs, Bulls want to make  5600 as base for September Series. 5300-5900 PE added 5.7 lakhs in Open Interest so option activity shows Bulls in wait and watch mode.
  • FII bought 1585 cores and DII  sold 1156 cores in cash segment, INR closed at 4 months high at 53.48  FII sold 387 cores in Stock Futures.
  • Nifty Futures Trend Deciding level is 5440, Trend Changer at 5680 Nifty. (Above this Level Bulls will rule Nifty/Below this levels Bears have upper hand).
  • 5 DMA at 5625
  • 20 DMA at 5410
  • 50 DMA at 5320
  • 200 DMA at 5162
  • 5 Days Relative Strengthen Index at 76 and 14 Days Relative Strengthen Index at 72. Indicates Nifty placed in BULLISH Zone.

Nifty Spot Support & Resistance:

Nifty Resistance at It has the First resistance close to the level 5688 and above the level marks the track point at 5733 later zipper levels at 5755 marks.

Support at It has the first support close to the level of 5666 and below this level mark next support is seen at 5644 later dipping levels near 5622 marks.

Nifty Future Momentum Call for 25 Sep’2012:

Buy above 5711 sl 5688 Tgt 5733-5755 {Or} Sell Below 5666 sl 5688 Tgt 5644-5622.

Bank Nifty Future Momentum Call for 25 Sep’2012:

Buy above 11466 sl 11422 Tgt 11555-11644 {Or} Sell below 11377 sl 1422 Tgt 11333-11288.

Nifty out Look & FII Derivative Data – 21 September’2012

The Bse Index Shuts at 18,350 down – 147 Points from its Previous Close or -0.79%. The Nse Index Shuts at 5555 down by -46 Points from its Previous Close or -0.82%.

  • Top Nse India Gainers were: M&M Fin Services, Hind Petrol, Sjvn Ltd and Indian Bulls Real Estate.
  • Top Nse India Losers Were: Ttk Prestige, Gmr Infra, Lanco Infra and Jay Prakash Power.
  • Technical correction is in place giving the breathing space to indicator and cooling off the steam of stocks. Consolidation before the next rally will help market to break the swing high of 5652 and March towards 5740. Expiry is just 5 days ahead.

FII Derivative Data:

  • FII sold 5957 Contracts of Index Future, worth 102.69 cores  with net OI decreasing by 33817 contracts.
  • As Nifty Future was down by 41 points and Open Interest in Index Futures decreased by 33817, FII have done profit booking in shorts which they created on Tuesday and coupled with profit booking in longs in Nifty and Bank Nifty Future.
  • Nifty Spot closed at 5554.25, after opening gap down making low of 5537 near our support of 5527 as mentioned, rest of day was consolidating in the range of 5581-5550.As we have said before Consolidation will be name of game for few days and same is happening in market We also have a small gap from 5581-5600 which will be filled eventually.
  • Resistance for Nifty has come up to 5581 and 5602 which needs to be watched closely ,Support now exists at 5537 and 5520 .Trend is Buy on Dips till 5485 is not broken on closing basis.
  • Nifty Future September Open Interest is at 2.18 cores with a fresh addition of 2.4 Lakh in OI, shorts addition is seen in Nifty future.
  • Total F&O turnover was 1.26 lakh Cores with total contract traded at 1.93 lakh. PCR at 1.17 and VIX jumped to 18.62.
  • 5700 CE  is having highest Open Interest of 73 lakhs with addition of 2.5 lakhs in OI Calls were written at 5700 as premium came down from 21 to 10 in single session. .5600 CE Open Interest at 69 lakhs, with addition of 6.3 lakhs. Immediate resistance is at 5600 as per Open Interest table. 5200-5800 CE added 2.4 lakhs in Open Interest, Bears gaining some strength at higher levels.FII Options OI saw an reduction of 4.3 lakhs means big move is round the corner.
  • 5500 PE added 3.9 lakh in Open Interest total OI at 75 Lakhs, Bulls want to make  5500 as base for September Series.5600 PE saw an unwinding of 5.4 lakhs in Open Interest ,so puts written by bulls ran for cover today. 5200-5800 PE unwounded 8.8 lakhs in Open Interest bulls getting jittery at higher levels. Any close below 5554 on Nifty Spot will favor bears in extreme short term (This is what we discussed yesterday and todays close 5554.75
  • FII sold 73 cores and DII sold 331 cores in cash segment, INR closed at 54.38. FII sold 428 cores in Stock Futures.
  • Nifty Futures Trend Deciding level is 5542, Trend Changer at 5405 Nifty. (Above this Level Bulls will rule Nifty/Below this levels Bears have upper hand).
  • 5 DMA at 5555
  • 20 DMA at 5382
  • 50 DMA at 5306
  • 200 DMA at 5156
  • 5 Days Relative Strengthen Index at 68 and 14 Days Relative Strengthen Index at 67. Indicates Nifty placed in BULLISH Zone.

Nifty Support & Resistance:

Nifty Resistance at It has the First resistance close to the level 5577 and above the level marks the track point at 5600 later zipper levels at 5622 marks.

Support at It has the first support close to the level of 5533 and below this level mark next support is seen at 5511 later dipping levels near 5488 marks.

Nifty Future Momentum Call for 21 Sep’2012:

Buy above 5577 sl 5555 Tgt 5600-5622 {Or} Sell Below 5333 sl 5555 Tgt 5511-5488.

Bank Nifty Momentum Call for 21 Sep’2012:

Buy above 10977 sl 10933 Tgt 11066-11115 {Or} Sell below 10888 sl 110933 Tgt 10844-10800.

Commodity Market View – Gold Mcx Trading, Crude Mcx Trading, Natural Gas Mcx Trading

GOLD:

Today Gold Mcx Oct trading range for the day is 31385-32895.

The Federal Reserve is planning to buy $40 billion in mortgage securities a month. The purchase is open-ended meaning the Fed will continue to buy the securities until satisfied by the economic conditions; particularly unemployment.

Resistance is at 32612-32894-33175

Trend Deciding Point at 32140

Support at 31858-31385-31103

SILVER:

Today Silver Mcx Dec trading range for the day is 60985-67885.

Silver ended higher as Fed said new round of bond-buying was open-ended and that it would not likely raise interest rates.

Resistance is at 69173-67884-66596

Trend Deciding Point at 644435

Support at 63145-60985-59695

CRUDE:

Today Crude Mcx Sep trading range for the day is 5250-5505.

Crude ended with gains as the Federal Reserve’s launch of another stimulus program weakened the dollar. Oil also received a lift from the latest development in the euro zone’s debt crisis. Geopolitical risks have intensified in the oil-producing Middle East and North Africa, which also supported oil markets

Resistance is at 5435-5504-5573

Trend Deciding Point at 5376

Support at 5307-5248-5179

NATURAL GAS:

Today Natural Gas Mcx Sep trading range for the day is 159-173.

Natural gas drop after report from U.S. EIA showed U.S. gas provisions rose less-than-expected last week

U.S. EIA said in its weekly statement that natural gas storage in the U.S. rose by 27 billion cubic feet.

Total U.S. natural gas storage stand at 3.430 trillion cubic feet as of previous  week.

Resistance is at 169-173-178

Trend Deciding Point at 166

Support at 161-159-154

COPPER:

Today Copper Mcx Nov trading range for the day is 446-461.5.

Copper ruined higher after the U.S. Federal Reserve announced another destructive stimulus plan. Copper early reaction to the Fed’s latest easing efforts was volatile, swinging above and below unchanged levels With the Fed convention now the market’s focus will likely return to China, where spot demand has been lackluster

Warehouse stock for Copper at LME was at 216325mt that is up by 550mt.

Resistance is at 458.45-461.35-464.25

Trend Deciding Point at 453.5.

Support at 450.6-445.5-442.75

NICKLE:

Today Nickel Mcx Sep trading range for the day is 915-943.

Nickel wrecked higher after Federal Open Market Committee said it would buy USD 40 billion each month. Fed will augment purchase of long-term bonds by USD 85 billion each month.

Fed’s policy situation arm also said it expects to keep short-term interest rates near zero until at least mid-2015. Warehouse stock for Nickel at LME was at 120883 mt that is up by 67 mt.

Resistance is at 937-943-948

Trend Deciding Point at 928

Support at 923-914-909

Today Commodity Call Advises:

  • BUY GOLD MCX OCT ON DIPS @ 32310 SL 32230 TGT 32420.
  • BUY CRUDE MCX SEP ABOVE 5400 SL 5360 TGT 5434-5468
  • ZINC MCX SEP ABOVE 112 SL 111.40 TGT 112.80-113.50.

Information on Fixed Maturity Plans & their Benefits

Fixed Maturity Plans, as they are popularly known, are the equivalents of a fixed deposit in a bank, with a caveat. The maturity amount of a fixed deposit in a bank is ‘guaranteed’, but only ‘indicated’ in the FMP of a mutual fund. The regulator does not allow fund companies to guarantee returns, and hence the ‘indicated returns’ in FMP’s.

Classically, the fund house fixes a ‘target amount’ for a scheme, which it ties up informally with borrowers before the scheme opens. Since the fund house knows the interest rate that it will earn on its investments, it can provide ‘indicative returns’ to investors.

Fixed Maturity Plans are debt schemes, where the corpus is invested in fixed-income securities. The tenure can be of different maturities, from one month to three years. They are closed-ended in nature, which means that once the NFO (new fund offer) closes, the scheme cannot accept any further investment.

These Fixed Maturity Plans, NFOs are generally open for 2 to 3 days and are marketed to corporate’s and well-heeled, high net-worth individuals. Nevertheless, the minimum investment is usually Rs 5,000 and so a retail investor can comfortably invest too.

Fixed Maturity Plans usually invest in certificate of deposits (CDs), commercial papers (CPs), money market instruments, corporate bonds and sometimes even in bank fixed deposits.

Depending on the tenure of the FMP, the fund manager invests in a combination of the above-mentioned instruments of similar maturity. Say if the FMP is for a year, then the fund manager invests in paper maturing in one year.

The prevalent yield minus the expense ratio, which varies from 0.25 to 1 per cent, will be the indicative return which can be expected from the Fixed Maturity Plans.

The expense ratio is mentioned in the offer document. The yield can be indicated fairly accurately because these schemes are open only for a short while.

The fund received is for a pre-specified tenure and the exit load from this plan is high (usually 1 per cent to 3 per cent, depending on the time of redemption). So, the fund manager has the liberty to deploy most of the funds mobilized under the scheme.

The actual return can vary slightly, if at all, from the indicated return. Against that, a bank fixed deposit exactly prints the amount which is due to you on maturity on the Fixed Deposit receipt. However, Fixed Maturity Plans do earn better returns than fixed deposits of similar tenure.

The enchantment is in the tax treatment of a mutual fund FMP. FMPs are classified under the debt scheme category and enjoy certain tax benefits such as:

  • Dividend in the hands of the investor is tax-free. But the mutual fund has to deduct a dividend distribution tax of 14.025 per cent in the case of individuals and Hindu Undivided Families (HUFs), and 22.44 per cent in the case of corporate.
  • Long-term capital gains (investment of more than a year) enjoy indexation benefit.
  • Short-term capital gains are added to the income of the investor and taxed as per his/her slab, whereas the interest on a bank deposit (except where special 80C approved) is added to the income of the investor and taxed as per his/her slab.

The results of all these are quite dramatic. For example of a 90-day FD yielding 8 per cent, compared with an FMP yielding 8 per cent for an individual investor in the highest tax bracket.

BANK FD

FMP- Dividend Option

FMP – Growth Option

Net yield

8%

8%

8%

Tax

33.66%

33.66%

DDT

14.025%

Net yield

5.3%

6.8%

5.3%

In fact, the dividend distribution tax is deducted on the gross yield. So the return from the dividend option can be 10-20 bps higher.

Except for the sake of simplicity, it is calculated here on net yield.  If the tenure of the FMP is more than a year, the growth option gives a higher yield because of the indexation benefit.

What is indexation benefit?

The finance minister has been generous enough to recognize that inflation erodes the real value of any investment. So every year, he comes out with an inflation index based on the prevailing rate of inflation.  The cost of investment is indexed by multiplying the index of the year of maturity and divided by the inflation index prevailing on the year of investment. If you have arrived at an indexed cost, then the long-term capital gain is taxed at 22.44 per cent and if you do not opt for the indexed cost, then the tax is 11.22 per cent.

How does this pan out:

Take an example of a 30-month FMP which, if launched now, will mature in September 2012. It will pass through three financial years – launch in 2008-2009 and maturing in 2010-2012. Thus, it can have a benefit of triple-cost indexation for the purpose of calculating post-tax yield. Look at the workings.

Note: Cost Inflation Index for FY 09-10 is 519. The assumption is that the CII for FY10-11 is 567 and for FY 11-12 are 592. Clearly, the post-tax return is superior for an FMP.

Bank Fixed Deposit

30 Month FMP

With Indexation

Without Indexation

Amount of Investment (Rs.)

10000

10000

10000

Post Expenses Yield (p.a)*

8.30%

8.30%

8.30%

Tenor (in months)

30

30

30

Approx  Maturity  Amt

12,075

12,075

12,075

Gain

2075

2075

2075

Indexed Cost

NA

11,406

NIL

Indexed Gain

NA

669

NA

Tax Rate

33.66%

22.44%

11.22%

Tax

698

150

232

Post Tax Gain

1377

1925

1843

Approx Post Tax Annualized Return

5.5%

7.7%

7.3%

How does one know of these plans?

Like mentioned earlier, these schemes are not advertised heavily and the commission on them is low. But, the good news is that these plans are launched on a regular basis by mutual funds. You may have to badger your MF intermediary for information on them, but it is well worth the effort.

Public issue – NCD Issue from Shriram City Union Finance Ltd.

Introduction:

Shriram City Union Finance, a deposit-taking NBFC belonging to the Chennai-based Shriram Group, is entering the debt capital market for the second time, with a public issue of secured redeemable non-convertible debentures (NCDs) of face value Rs. 1,000 each, to raise Rs. 250 crore with an option to retain another Rs 250 crore, taking the total fund raising to Rs. 500 crore.

Public Issue:

The issue opens on 12th September and closes on 24th September 2012, with an option in company’s hands to either close the issue earlier or extend the closing. Minimum application amount is Rs 10,000, and in multiples of Rs, 1,000 thereof.

Rating: ‘AA’ by CARE and ‘AA-/Stable’ by CRISIL indicating high degree of safety for timely servicing of financial obligations

Listing: To be listed on NSE and BSE with one NCD comprising a trading lot. NCD would be issued and traded only in the demat form.

What’s on offer: The NCD issue has 4 investment options as under:

Particulars

Series I

Series II

Series III

Series IV

Frequency Of Interest Payment

Annual

Annual

On Redemption

On Redemption

Tenure

3 Years

5 Years

3 Years

5 Years

Individual Investor

11.50%

11.75%

N.A

N.A

Non-Individual Investor

10.60%

10.75%

N.A

N.A

Effective yield         {% P.A}

Individual Investor

11.50%

11.75%

11.50%

11.75%

Non-Individual Investor

10.60%

10.75%

10.60%

10.75%

Put/Call Option

None

None

None

None

Redemption Amount {NCD}

Individual Investor

Face Value + Accrued Interest

Face Value + Accrued Interest

Rs. 1,386.20

Rs. 1,743.30

Non-Individual Investor

Rs. 1,352.90

Rs. 1,666.65

Allocation Ratio: 80% issue reserved for resident individuals / HUFs – split equally between investment application upto Rs. 5 lakh and for investment application above Rs. 5 lakh. 10% of the issue reserved for institutions, while balance 10% for non-institutional category. Thus, greater reservation for individual’s vis-à-vis issue of India Infoline Finance.

Company Background:

Shriram City Union Finance, specializing in retail finance such as auto loans, small business loans, consumer finance, personal loans and gold loans, has a network of over 575 branches and 91 other business outlets across 17 Indian states. For FY12, company clocked consolidated total income of Rs. 2,057 crore and PAT of Rs. 338 crore, on equity of Rs. 52.3 crore and networth of Rs. 1,731 crore. With AUMs of Rs. 13,431 crore as of 31st March 2012, the company’s capital adequacy stood at 17.4% (versus RBI stipulated 15%) while its net NPAs were 0.38% of loan assets, as on that date. Thus, the company has a healthy financial position along with a strong balance sheet. Funds raised via the NCD issue will be uses in regular financing business and repaying some existing debt.

Rate of Return:

11.75% interest rate on 5 year NCDs seems attractive for retail investment in fixed income securities, given the longer tenure of the instrument, ensuring that capital is earning higher rate. No bank is offering interest rates in double digit on fixed deposits of 5 years and above. Moreover, once RBI states easing policy rates, these rates on fixed instruments will only head south.

Previous NCD Issue:

Last August, the company had raised Rs. 750 crore through secured NCDs at 11.50%-12.10% interest p.a. with 3-5 years tenure. These previously-issued secured NCDs are on NSE trading with yields of about 11.1% – 11.4% per annum for 3 year NCDs and 11.5% – 11.6% for 5 year NCDs. Thus, 11.75% pa is an attractive rate of return for retail individual investors in the current offering for 5 years.

Comparison with India Infoline NCD:

Shriram is offering secured NCDs vis-à-vis India Infoline Finance which is offering 13.52% effective yield for 6 years with monthly interest payment on unsecured NCDs. Thus, the security factor is compensating the coupon rate / yield.

Conclusion:

Tax-free HUDCO bonds are on BSE trading at yields of about 7.5%. At 11.75% pa, Shriram City’s NCDs lead to effective post-tax return of 8.12%, assuming highest tax bracket of 30.90%. Hence, ignoring the time frame, these NCDs fare favourably against the listed tax-free bonds.

 Recommendation:

The current NCD issue from the Shriram stable (after Shriram Transport Finance) is attractive for retail investors as it offers high ‘fixed returns’ for a long-term duration of 5 years. It fares better than bank FD, company fixed deposits and listed tax free bonds with respect to rate of return. Those looking for diversified investment options can go for the issue with 5 years tenure, either with annual interest payment option or at redemption, based on an individual’s cash flow needs.

Moreover, ahead of RBI’s policy review on 17th September, other NBFCs are also likely to announce public issue of secured NCDs such as Religare Finvest, Muthoot Finance and SREI Infrastructure Finance. So keep a watch on the upcoming issues as well.

Company Registered Office:

Shriram City Union Finance Ltd,

123, Angappa Naicken Street,

Chennai- 600 001, Tamil Nadu

Phone: + 91 44 4392 5300

Fax: +91 44 4392 5430

Lead Managers:

  1. A.K Capital Services Limited
  2. Edelweiss Capital Limited
  3. JM Financial Consultants Pvt. Ltd.

IPO Offer – Non-Convertible Debenture (NCD) of India Infoline Finance (IIFL)

Introduction:

The Non-Convertible Debenture (NCD) issuance of India Infoline Finance (IIFL) has managed to collect over Rs 110 crore on Wednesday, the first day of subscribing to the issue, according to sources in merchant banking circles. A host of wealth managers have given a thumbs up to the unsecured NCD issuance bearing a face value of Rs 1000 aggregating up to Rs 500 crores including green-shoe option.

IPO Issue Details:

 The Issue Comes on 5th September’2012 and done on a first-come-first-serve basis, closes on 18th September’2012, with an option in company’s hand to either close tha issue earlier or extend the closing. Minimum Application amount is Rs. 5,000 and Multiplies of Rs. 1,000 thereof.

IPO Rating:

However the issue has got a rating of AA- from both CRISIL and ICRA. Hence for investors who are looking for utmost safety as the first criteria, they should give this issue a clear miss.

IPO Listing:

To be Listed on Both Nse & Bse with one NCD comprising trading lot. NCD would be issued both in Physical and demat form, but can be traded on the Exchanges in demat form.

IPO Offer:

The 5 Year above NCD issue has 3 Investment Options as under:

Essentials Interest Payments Interest Rate {P.A} Effective Yield {P.A}
Option 1 Monthly 12.75% 13.52%
Option 2 Annually 12.75 12.75%
Option 3 Cumulative* Not Applicable 12.75%*

*Redemption amount at the end of 6 Years is 2,054.50 per NCD.

Allocation Ratio: 50% Issue reserved for Residential Individuals/HUFs-split equally between investment application upto Rs. 5 Lakhs and investment above Rs. 5 Lakhs 40% of the issue reserved institutions, while 10% balance for HNI’s.

Company Background:

The Company in Mortgage loans and capital market finance {loan against shares, margin funding etc} with mortgage loans accounted for 45% of its Rs. 6,746 crore loan book as of March 31st 2012, while gold loans accounted for 41%, Capital market finance 12% and balance 1% in Health Care.

For FY 12, Its Consolidated income from operations was Rs. 908 Crores with PAT at Rs. 105 Crore. With a Networth of Rs. 1,145 Crore as of 31st March 2012, company has highly leveraged with Rs. 5,938 Crore debt, including bebt-Equity ratio of 4.1:1, up from 1.6:1 as of 31st march 2011, when debt was Rs. 2,083 Crore. The current fund-raising, to be used for company’s financing activities, will only aggregate the debt-Equity ratio further.

Positives:

The 12.75% Interest rate seems attractive for retail investors in fixed income securities, given the longer tenure for the instrument for 6 Years, ensuring that capital earning the premium rate. No bank is offering interest rates in double digit on fixed deposit of 5 Years and above.

Concerns:

  1. Unsecured nature of Instrument
  2. Business operations involving in Risky areas of capital market fiancé.
  3. Parentage

Past NCD Issue:

Last August, The Company called as India Infoline Investment Services, has raised Rs. 750 Crores through NCD at 11.70-11.90% with 3-5 Years Tenure. In comparison of year ago the Interest rates are quite attractive, as the current NCD has unsecured, where last year secured NCD issued. These previously NCDs {Secured} are currently trading on NSE with yields of about 11.70% to 12% per annum.

Conclusion:

A head of RBI’s policy review on 17th September, may NBFC s having received SEBI nod, are likely to announce public issue of secured NCDs in the coming fortnight  ~ Religare Finvest, Muthoot Finance, Shriram City Union for Rs. 500 crores each and SREI Infrastructure Finance for Rs. 150 Crores .

 NCDs of other companies which are currently listed such as Shriram Transport Finance, provide greater comfort as they came large and more respected corporate, in addition to being secured instrument. Secured 5-Year NCDs of Shriram Transport Finance, issued just a last month, are currently trading at yields 11.5% to 11.8% per annum on the NSE.

IPO Recommendation:

Option I (Monthly interest payment): The redemption date is 72 months from the deemed date of allotment and the coupon rate is 12.75% p.a. The interest payment frequency is monthly and the face value plus any interest that may have accrued is payable on redemption. The effective yield on this option is 13.52% per annum. This can be termed as the ‘Small-Cap” of debt market.

For HNIs and large investors falling in the maximum tax bracket, as also, looking at the current yields on tax free bonds. Available in the secondary market and unsecured nature in NCDs from India infoline, yields looks moderate. Considering all this, put a small amount in this and wait for other better instrument for little safer and large users.

IPO Lead Managers:

The lead managers to this offer are Axis Bank Limited, SBI Capital Markets Limited, Edelweiss Financial Services Limited, Trust Investment Advisors Private Limited and India Infoline Limited (only for marketing of the Issue), while the Co-lead managers to the Issue are RR Investors Capital Services (P) Limited and Karvy Investor Services Limited.