Nifty Future & FII Derivative Data – 13 September’2012

  • Nifty Future made a fresh September series high today at 5453. IIP data came at 0.1 which is as per market expectation. Another important Global event German Court gave in favor of using ESM and Germany Can Ratify ESM Fund with Conditions so nothing is stopping Bulls. Always remember hot money chase the momentum and in liquidity driven rally fundamental will take the back seat. So do not waste your time in finding top and bottom, Stay with trend and mint money.
  • Top Nse India Gainers were: Tata Motors, LT, Jindal Steel and Tata Steel.
  • Top Nse India Losers Were: Siemens, Cipla, Ntpc and Bhel.

FII Derivative Data:

  • FII bought 18249 Contracts of Index Future, worth 437.39 cores  with net OI increasing by 13123 contracts.
  • As Nifty Future was up by 42 points and OI has increased by 13123, FII have imitated fresh long in Nifty and Bank Nifty Future. Momentum is on higher side and weakness is still not present in Nifty Future.
  • Nifty Spot closed at 5431 after making a high of 5436. Sensex has made a fresh 7 month high ie. 18012 so now its Nifty turn to break 5450.We have big gap from 5217-5309 formed on Friday and it’s been 5 days Bulls are able to defend the higher levels, Nifty continue to march higher after Monday consolidation. Also be noted Nifty has given highest close of 5331 on closing basis after it made the low of 4770
  • Resistance for Nifty has come up to 5450 and 5462 which needs to be watched closely ,Support now exists at 5424 and 5395 .Trend is Buy on Dips till 5339 is not broken on closing basis.
  • Nifty September OI is at 1.84 cores with a fresh addition of 5.5 Lakh in OI, long addition is seen in Nifty future.
  • Total F&O turnover was  1.16 lakh  Cores  with total contract traded at  2.18  lakh.PCR at 1.03 and VIX 15.03.Cash volumes show a jumped of 10% showing rise is backed by deliveries in Stocks.
  • 5600 CE  is having highest OI of 83 lakhs with an addition of 6 lakhs in OI.5500 CE is having second highest OI at  OI at 78  lakhs, Immediate resistance is at 5500 CE. 5000-5600 CE saw an unwinding of 2.6 lakhs in OI. So Bulls are all over the place.
  • 5300 PE added another 9 lakhs so 5300  and 5400 PE added huge 14 lakh, Bulls want to make the 5400 as base for the rest of September series.5000-5600 PE added  huge 29 lakhs in Open Interest so bulls are cementing ground for 5400 tomorrow. Now Bulls need to defend the 5400 base for rest of week.
  • FII bought 451 cores and DII sold 55.76 cores in cash segment, INR closed at 55.3. FII has bought 2ooo cores in cash market.
  • Nifty Futures Trend Deciding level is 5384, Trend Changer at 5324 NF. (Above this Level Bulls will rule Nifty/Below this levels Bears have upper hand).
  • 5 DMA at 5353
  • 20 DMA at 5341
  • 50 DMA at 5281
  • 200 DMA at 5138
  • 5 Days Relative Strengthen Index at 80 and 14 Days Relative Strengthen Index at 64. Indicates Nifty placed in BULLISH Zone.

Nifty Support & Resistance:

Nifty Resistance at It has the First resistance close to the level 5444 and above the level marks the track point at 5466 later zipper levels at 5488 marks.

Support at It has the first support close to the level of 5422 and below this level mark next support is seen at 5400 later dipping levels near 5377 marks.

Nifty Future Call for 13 Sep’2012:

Nifty Future Momentum Call – Buy above 5466 sl 5444 Tgt 5488-5511 {Or} Sell Below 5422 sl 5444 Tgt 5400-5377.

Bank Nifty Momentum Call for 13 Sep’2012:

Buy above 10266 sl 10222 Tgt 10311-10355 {Or} Sell below 10177 sl 10222 Tgt 10133-10088.

Nifty Outlook & FII Darivatives Data for 23 August’2012

The Bse Index Closes on Yesterday at 17847 down38 Points or -0.21% and the Nifty fasten store at 5413 down 8 points from the previous close or +-0.15%. The CNX Midcap index was down 0.5% while the BSE Small cap index declines 0.2% in Yesterday’s Trade. The market breadth was negative with advances at 653 against declines of 788 on the NSE.

The markets closed with judicious declines today with realty and power being the nastiest performers. Banking, healthcare and auto made some gains.

Nse India Top Gainers in Yesterday’s Trade: Ranbaxy, Bpcl, Bank of Baroda and Infosyis.

Nse India Top Losers in Yesterday’s Trade: Airtel, Idfc, Sesa Goa and Ntpc.

Stock Cipher:

  • NMDC hikes iron ore price by 8-13%.
  • This fiscal year, ONGC is planning to spend Rs 15000 cr to drill 480 wells.
  • Essar Oil is in an agreement of USD 1.2 billion with Colombia to buy crude oil.
  • Wockhardt has received a tentative US FDA nod for Anti-psychotic Drug Geodon.
  • Alstom – BHEL will be supplying turbo-generator package for Rawatbhata Nuclear Plan.

 FII DERIVATIVES DATA

  • FII bought 7345 Contracts of Nifty, worth 183 cores  with net OI decreasing by 3965 contracts.
  • As Nifty Future was down by 11 points and OI has decreased by 3965, FII have started booking profits Index futures. The way we fell down from 5455 NF suggests profit booking.
  • Nifty Spot closed at 5413 after making the high of 5433. Bulls successfully managed to close nifty above 5400 Inspite of bad global cues which suggests strength. Resistance for Nifty has come up to 5446 and 5467 which needs to be watched closely ,Support now exists at 5395 and 5366 .Trend is still buy on Dips till 5269 is not broken on closing basis.
  • As we discussed yesterday it will be a range bound day and a listless market and nifty obliged us by doing nothing. Hope traders were able to benefit the same.
  • Nifty August OI is at 2.61 cores with an unwinding of 2.57 Lakh in OI, longs were unwounded by Retailers and HNI. I expect small range tomorrow probably till 5447 on higher end and 5400 on lower end with stock specific action looking at OI figure. (This is what we discussed yesterday and same happened today).
  • Total F&O turnover was 1.06 lakh Cores with total contract traded at 1.68 lakh, Nifty Future made a new high with pathetic volumes, Also the Cash volume were 30% lower than average which suggests distribution happening at higher levels. Be cautious on your longs and ride it till music lasts.
  • 5300 CE also saw an unwinding of 1.67 lakhs with total OI now standing at 31 lakhs, Call Writers ran for cover. 5400 CE saw an  unwinding  of 0.44  lakhs and total OI stands at 65 lakhs no major unwinding seen, 5500 CE still having  highest OI of 1 core lakhs, with fresh addition of 1.6 lakhs in OI.
  • 5300 PE added 0.8 lakh in OI and having the OI at 1.07 cr which suggests traders are getting confident that 5300 will not break in August Expiry.5400 PE also added 10 Lakh in OI so now traders are eyeing 5400 PE as next base for Nifty.
  • FII bought 96 cores and DII sold 230 cores in cash segment.INR closed at 55.57. FII again sold 230 cores in Stock Futures.
  • Nifty Futures Trend Deciding level is 5386, Trend Changer at 5312 Nifty (Above this Level Bulls will rule Nifty/Below this levels Bears have upper hand).
  • 5 DMA at 5389
  • 20 DMA at 5269
  • 50 DMA at 5226
  • 200 DMA at 5117
  • 5-Days Relative Strength Index at 77
  • 14-Days Relative Strength Index at 67. It Indicates Nifty Placed in BULLISH precinct.

NIFTY: RESISTANCE @ It has the First resistance close to the level 5444 and above the level marks the track point at 5466 later zooper levels at 5488 marks.

SUPPORT@ It has the first support close to the level of 5400 and below this level mark next support is seen at 5477 later dipping levels near 5355 marks.

NIFTY FUT MOMENTUM CALLS FOR 23 Aug’2012:

Buy Nifty August Future above 5444 Sl 5422 Tgt 5466-5488 {Or} Sell Nifty August Future below 5400 Sl 5422 Tgt 5377-5355.

Nifty out Look & FII Data – 21 August’2012

The Bse Index Closes on Friday at 17691 up 34 Points or +0.19% and the Nifty fasten store at 5366, up 3 points from the previous close or +0.06%. The CNX Midcap index was down 0.1% while the BSE Small cap index gains 0.02% in Fridays Trade. The market breadth was negative with advances at 654 against declines of 797 on the NSE.

The markets lost all the gains on Friday morning trade and closed flat. FMCG, IT, auto and consumer durables were the biggest gainers in Friday’s session while realty, power and metal tried to pull the indices down.

Nse India Top Gainers in Friday’s Trade: Tata Motors, Hul, Itc and Infosyis.

Nse India Top Losers in Friday’s Trade: Jindal Steel, Tata Power, Reliance Infra and Dlf.

Stock Cipher:

  • UltraTech and Lupin will be replacing SAIL and Sterlite in Nifty from Sept 28, 2012.
  • Cairn India has acquired 60% in offshore Block 1 in South Africa.
  • Dhanlaxmi bank is planning to cut stake in Destimoney from 13% to 5%.
  • Tata Global arm has bought the remaining 49% in Russian SuntyCo Holding.
  • US firm Santarus has sued Dr Reddy. It has accused Dr Reddy for infringing its patents on heartburn drug Zegerid.
  • Rupee at close: Rupee ends at 55.73 to the dollar vs 55.76 on Thursday.

 FII DERIVATIVES DATA

  • FII bought 12876 Contracts of NF, worth 279 cores with net OI increasing by 8208 contracts.
  • As Nifty Future was up by 0.35 points and OI has increased by 8208, FII have used the dip to buy into Index futures.
  • Nifty Spot closed at 5366 after making a high of 5400; Bulls were unable to close nifty above 5380 resistance zone which shows the supply pressure coming at higher levels.
  • Resistance for Nifty has come up to 5390 and 5400 (as  its swing high in Oct 2011) which needs to be watched closely ,Support now exists at 5328 and 5309 .Trend is still buy on Dips till 5244 is not broken on closing basis.
  • Nifty August OI is at 2.56 cores with an unwinding  of 2.3 Lakh in OI, longs were liquidated by Retailers and HNI.As OI figure saw an unwinding of 1.19 lakhs i expect some good move tomorrow this is what we discussed on Thursday and on Friday we had a range of 72 points
  • Total F&O turnover was 1.25 lakh Cores with total contract traded at 2.4  lakh lowest in 2012.
  • 5300 CE also saw an addition of 2.79  lakhs with total OI now standing at 41 lakhs ,5400 CE saw an  addition  of 1.85  lakhs and total OI stands at 67 lakhs making immediate ceiling for market,  5500 CE still having  highest OI of 93 lakhs,  , 5000-5600 CE saw an addition of 2.6 lakhs in OI.
  • On Put side 5000 PE saw an unwinding of 1.4 lakhs, strong support of Nifty as total OI at 1.01 core.5000-5500 PE added total of 7 lakhs in OI.5300 PE added 5 lakh in OI and having the OI at 91 lakhs which suggests traders are getting confident that 5300 will not break in near term and immediate support in any pullback.5400 PE also added 7.2 Lakh in OI and FII were net buyers of Options yesterday so are they are buying puts to hedge their longs.
  • FII bought 308 cores and DII bought 40 cores in cash segment. FII has sold 161 cores in stock futures.
  • Nifty Futures Trend Deciding level is 5387, Trend Changer at 5298 NIFTYF (Above this Level Bulls will rule Nifty/Below this levels Bears have upper hand).
  • 5 DMA at 5356
  • 20 DMA at 5244
  • 50 DMA at 5212
  • 200 DMA at 5115
  • 5-Days Relative Strength Index at 72
  • 14-Days Relative Strength Index at 64. It Indicates Nifty Placed in BULLISH precinct.

NIFTY: RESISTANCE @ It has the First resistance close to the level 5377 and above the level marks the track point at 5400 later zooper levels at 5444 marks.

SUPPORT@ It has the first support close to the level of 5355 and below this level mark next support is seen at 5333 later dipping levels near 5288 marks.

NIFTY FUT MOMENTUM CALLS FOR 21 Aug’2012:

Buy Nifty August Future above 5400 Sl 5377 Tgt 5422-5444 {Or} Sell Nifty August Future below 5355 Sl 5377 Tgt 5333-5311.

Overseas Market View – F&O, Market Cues

  • The US markets ended another session flat in lackluster trade as investors digested a string of mixed economic data and earnings reports. It was a day of extremely anemic volumes. The Dow traded within a 55 point range through the day as bluechips dragged. It was only the Nasdaq that managed to eke out a half percent gain.
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.06% or 7.36 points at 13164.78. Nasdaq Composite was up 0.46% or 13.95 points at 3030.93. Standard & Poor’s 500 was up 0.11% or 1.6 points at 1405.53.
  • Also better economic data is now raising doubts that the Fed would launch any fresh bond buying programme next month. The CBOE volatility index slid below 15.
  • On economic data front, consumer prices were flat for a second-straight month in July. Meanwhile US homebuilder sentiment rose in August to its highest level in more than five years. New York Fed Reserve empire state index of manufacturing activity fell unexpectedly into negative territory in August for the first time since last October.
  • In key data to watch out for in the US today, weekly jobless claims are expected to rise marginally to 365,000. The Philadelphia Fed survey is expected to come in at minus 6.5, after a 12.5 decline last month. Also watch out for
  • housing starts data.
  • In the currency space, the dollar firm versus the euro after the US economic data boosted treasury yields and cut expectations of more monetary easing from the Federal Reserve.
  • In commodities, crude prices gain with Brent above USD 116 levels, the highest level in more than three months following a sharp drawdown in US crude stockpiles.
  • Indian ADRs ended mixed on Wednesday. In the IT space, Infosys was up 0.56% at USD 41.38, Wipro was up 0.5% at USD 8.05 and Patni was down 1.08% at USD 18.4.
  • In the Telecom space, MTNL was up 0.5% at USD 1.206 and Tata Communication was up 0.12% at USD 8.33. In the Banking space, ICICI Bank was down 0.49% at USD 34.75 and HDFC Bank was down 0.65% at USD 35.01.
  • In the other space, Sterlite was up 0.51% at USD 7.95, Dr Reddys was down 0.37% at USD 29.31 and Tata Motors was down 0.91% at USD 20.75.

F&O cues:

  • Nifty options suggest mkt range of 5300-5500
  • Total Puts add 5.7 lakh shares in Open Interest
  • Total Calls add 1.5 lakh shares in Open Interest
  • Highest OI buildup seen in 5000 Put & 5500 Call
  • 5000 Put adds 1.3 lakh shares in Open Interest
  • 5300 Put adds 10.2 lakh shares in Open Interest
  • 5400 Put adds 5.8 lakh shares in Open Interest
  • 5200 Put sheds 1.5 lakh shares in Open Interest
  • 4900 Put sheds 13.5 lakh shares in Open Interest
  • 5500 Call adds 4.1 lakh shares in Open Interest
  • 5400 Call sheds 6.95 lakh shares in Open Interest
  • 5300 Call sheds 4.2 lakh shares in Open Interest
  • Total Nifty Futures added 8.3 lakh shares in OI.
  • Stock Futures adds 50.6 cr shares in OI
  • Nifty PCR rose to 1.21 from 1.2
  • India VIX closed at 15.64 down by 2.31%
  • FIIs in F&O on August 14
  • FIIs net buy Rs 289 cr in Index Futures; Index Futures Open Int Contracts up by 7560
  • FIIs net buy Rs 411 cr in Index Options; Index Options Open Int Contracts up by 46491
  • FIIs net sell Rs 428 cr in Stock Futures; Stock Futures Open Int Contracts up by 7153

Market cues:

  • FIIs net buy USD 65 million in cash market on August 13
  • MFs net sell Rs 66 crore in cash market on August 13
  • As per provisional data of August 14, FIIs were net buyers of Rs 258 cr in cash market. FIIs were net buyers of Rs
  • 160 cr in F&O. DIIs were net buyers of Rs 76 cr in cash market.
  • FII sells 323 Contracts of Nifty, worth 21.28 cores with net OI increasing by 7909 contracts.
  • As Nifty Future was down by 5 points and OI has increased by 7909, FII have started shorting the index futures in small quantity. As FII average traded price comes at a weird number of 13179 which shows they are trading in fewer volumes and mostly doing day trading.
  • Nifty Spot closed at 5320 after making a high of 5330 and low of 5294 ,nifty has closed above 5300 but it has formed lower high and lower lows .As discussed earlier the range of 5350-80 is supply zone, cannot be broken in single attempt. Bulls are trying from past 2 days to close Nifty above 5350 but are failing each time suggesting weakness in price and eventual dip till 5260 can come in next 2 days.
  • Resistance for Nifty has come up to 5350 and after that 5380  which needs to be watched closely ,Support now exists at 5286 ,Below 5260 gap filling will start till 5216 .Trend is still buy on Dips till 5213 is not broken on closing basis.
  • Nifty August OI is at 2.43 cores with an addition of 3.7 Lakh in OI, shorts were added by Retailers and HNI.
  • Total Future and Options turnover was 0.93 lakh Cores with total contract traded at 1.8 lakh.
  • 5400 CE saw an unwinding of 2.5 lakhs and total OI stands at 75 lakhs making immediate ceiling for market, 5500 CE still having highest OI of 85 lakhs, 5300 CE also saw an addition of 1.1 lakhs with total OI now standing at 41 lakhs, 4900-5500 CE saw an unwinding of 2 lakhs in OI suggesting weak bears have unwounded the position as Nifty is unable to close below 5300.
  • Lying on Put side 5000 PE saw an addition of 1 lakhs, immediate support of Nifty as total OI at 1.05 core.4900-5500 PE added total of 10 lakhs in OI. 5200 PE added 6 lakhs in OI suggesting market participants are not showing nifty closing below 5200 for coming week.
  • FII bought 83 cores and DII sold 536 cores in cash segment.INR closed at 55.41 Live INR rate @ FII has sold 634 in stock futures namely in SBI and PSU banks.
  • Nifty Futures Trend deciding level is 5265, Trend Changer at 5266 Nifty Above this Level Bulls will rule Nifty Below this levels Bears have superior hand.

Overseas Market View – F&O Cues

  • The US markets eased off their session lows but still ended in the red, with the S&P 500 snapping a six-day winning streak, amid fears of a global economic slowdown. The CBOE volatility index fell below 14 to its lowest level in almost five years.
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.29% or 38.52 points at 13169.43. Nasdaq Composite was up 0.05% or 1.66 points at 3022.52. Standard & Poor’s 500 was down 0.13% or 1.76 points at 1404.11.
  • In key data to watch out for in the US today, the producer price index for the month of July is expected to edge up 0.2%. And retail sales may see a 0.3% growth in July.
  • In the currency space, the euro holds on to its yesterday gains ahead of the GDP data due from Germany and France.
  • In commodities, Brent crude prices retreat to USD 113 levels after touching an intraday high of USD 115 levels yesterday.
  • Indian ADRs ended lower on Monday. In the IT space, Infosys was down 0.93% at USD 41.4, Wipro was down 0.61% at USD 8.1 and Patni was down 0.58% at USD 18.6505.
  • In the Banking space, ICICI Bank was down 1.52% at USD 34.39 and HDFC Bank was down 0.93% at USD 35.25. In the Telecom space, Tata Communication was down 1.97% at USD 8.42 and MTNL was up 1.33% at USD 1.216.
  • In the other space, Dr Reddys was down 1.57% at USD 29.41, Tata Motors was down 1.09% at USD 20.81 and Sterlite was up 0.5% at USD 8.09.

F&O cues:

  • Nifty options suggest market range of 5200-5400
  • Total Puts add 15.4 lakh shares in Open Interest
  • Total Calls shed 3.6 lakh shares in Open Interest
  • Highest OI buildup seen in 5000 Put & 5500 Call
  • 5000 Put sheds 1.75 lakh shares in Open Interest
  • 5500 Call adds 29K shares in Open Interest
  • 5300 Put adds 8.82 lakh shares in Open Interest
  • 5200 Put adds 5.25 lakh shares in Open Interest
  • 4900 Put adds 4 lakh shares in Open Interest
  • 5400 Call sheds 5.95 lakh shares in Open Interest
  • 5300 Call adds 22K shares in Open Interest
  • Total Nifty Futures added 10.4 lakh shares in OI
  • Stock Futures adds 1.7 cr shares in OI
  • Nifty PCR rose to 1.2 from 1.17
  • India VIX closed at 16.01 down by 0.37%
  • FIIs in F&O on August 13
  • FIIs net sell Rs 28 cr in Index Futures; Index Futures Open Int Contracts up by 22065
  • FIIs net sell Rs 410 cr in Index Options; Index Options Open Int Contracts up by 17193
  • FIIs net sell Rs 442 cr in Stock Futures; Stock Futures Open Int Contracts up by 5226

Nifty Outlook – 13 August’2012

The Bse Index put down the lid at 17557 down 3 points or -0.02% and Nifty Shut Stop at 5320 down 2 points or -0.05% from the previous close. CNX Midcap index was down 0.1% and BSE Small cap index was down 0.3%. The market breadth was negative with advances at 549 against declines of 878 on the NSE.

It was a passive close to a dull session for the Indian market which adage banks, autos and realty trade under pressure. However, some buying was seen in IT, FMCG and oil & gas stocks in a range bound picture.

Top Nse India Gainers were: Bpcl, Maruti Suzuki, Kotak Bank and Tcs

Top Nse India Lossers Were: Sbin, Tata Motors, Ranbaxy and bank of Baroda.

Market Signs:

  1. IFCI Q1 net profit at Rs 93.6 cr  vs Rs 132.1 cr (YoY); revenue at Rs 661 cr vs Rs 602.5 cr (YoY).
  2. GMR Infra Q1 cons net loss at Rs 94.3 cr vs Rs 66.7 cr (YoY); cons revenue at Rs 2,562 cr vs Rs 2089.8 cr (YoY).
  3. Reliance Infra will be seeking approval to raise funds via QIP (Qualified Institutional Placement). The fundraising will not exceed 25% of equity capital.
  4. PSU oil cos seek immediate hike in petrol prices.
  5. Welspun India Q1FY13 Consolidated YoY Net Profit at Rs 37.7 Cr Vs Rs.18.2 Cr.
  6. Reliance Communications seeks shareholders’ approval to increase its authorised share capital to 25 billion rupees.
  7. Credit Suisse downgraded Tata Motors to “underperform” from “neutral” after cutting its volumes forecast.
  8. Sun Pharma Advanced approves rights issue at a price of Rs 67/share.
  9. Bombay Dyeing loses mill land battle in SC; stock slips.
  10. SBI Q1 net profit at Rs 3,751.5 cr Vs Rs 1584 cr (YoY); NII at Rs 11,118.8 cr Vs Rs 9700 cr (YoY).
  11. Sakthi Sugars Q1 net profit at Rs 1.4 cr vs loss of Rs 10.4 cr (YoY); net sales at Rs 357 cr vs Rs 354.7 cr (YoY).
  12. Eros International Q1 Cons net profit at Rs 31.4 Cr Vs Rs 29.7 Cr (QoQ).
  13. Sun Pharma Q1 cons net profit at 795.5 cr vs Rs 501 cr (YoY); cons net sales at Rs 2,658 cr vs Rs 1,636 cr (YoY).
  14. Sundram Fasteners Q1 net profit at Rs 31.2 cr vs Rs 34.9 cr (YoY); net sales at Rs 570.8 cr vs Rs 510.8 cr (YoY).
  15. Bharat Forge Q1 net profit at Rs 105.2 cr vs Rs 97.4 cr (YoY); net sales at Rs 916.2 cr vs Rs 829.3 cr (YoY).
  16. BPCL Q1 net loss at Rs 8837 cr vs loss of Rs 2562 cr (YoY); GRM at USD 2.62/bbl Vs USD 4.20/bbl (QoQ).
  17. ONGC Q1 net profit at Rs 6077.7 cr vs Rs 4095 cr (YoY); net sales at Rs 20,084.3 cr vs Rs 16199 cr (YoY).

Last Close at 5320 down -2 points, Last High at 5300 and Last Low at 5294> Weekly High at 5330 and Weekly Low at 5129.

5 DMA at 5320

20 DMA at 5213

50 DMA at 5178

200 DMA at 5111.

5 Days Relative Strengthen Index at 70 and 14 Days Relative Strengthen Index at 61. Indicates Nifty placed in BULLISH Zone.

Nifty Resistance at It has the First resistance close to the level 5333 and above the level marks the track point at 5355 later zipper levels at 5377 marks.

Support at It has the first support close to the level of 5311 and below this level mark next support is seen at 5288 later dipping levels near 5266 marks.

Nifty Future Momentum Call for 13 Aug’2012:

Nifty Future Buy above 5377 sl 5355 Tgt 5399-5422 {Or} Nifty Future Sell Below 5333 sl 5355 Tgt 5311-5288.

Overseas Market View – FII Data

  • The US markets ended narrowly mixed in lackluster trading, with the Dow breaking a four-day winning streak, as investors digested a better-than-expected jobless claims report against waning optimism over the ECB to tackle the region’s debt crisis. Nevertheless, the 5 day rally on the S&P 500 has helped it move nearly 10% higher from the lows of early June.
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.08% or 10.45 points at 13165.19. Nasdaq Composite was up 0.25% or 7.39 points at 3018.64. Standard & Poor’s 500 was up 0.04% or 0.58 points at 1402.8.
  • On economic data front, weekly jobless claims unexpectedly fell last week, slipping 6,000 to a seasonally adjusted 361,000. Trade deficit narrowed in June as lower oil prices curbed imports. And wholesale inventories in June posted their steepest decline since September.
  • In key data to watch out for in US today, data may show that export prices declined by 0.1% versus the 1.7% plunge in June. Meanwhile, import prices could see a 0.2% rise for the month of June.
  • In the currency space, the euro slips below 1.23 to the dollar as traders booked profits on recent gains.
  • In commodities, crude prices gain with Brent above USD 113 levels lifted by stronger-than-expected economic data in the US and a lower outlook for North Sea Brent production.
  • From the precious metals, gold prices gain on fresh stimulus hopes in China.
  • Indian ADRs ended mixed on Thursday. In the IT space, Patni was up 0.79% at USD 18.6, Infosys was up 0.34% at USD 41.59 and Wipro was up 0.25% at USD 8.07.
  • In the Telecom space, MTNL was up 2.54% at USD 1.21 and Tata Communication was down 1.49% at USD 8.58. In the Banking space, HDFC Bank was up 0.06% at USD 35.32 and ICICI Bank was down 0.4% at USD 34.97.
  • In the other space, Sterlite was up 3.1% at USD 7.99, Dr Reddys was down 0.73% at USD 29.9 and Tata Motors was down 3.57% at USD 21.34.

F&O cues:

  • Nifty options suggest market range of 5200-5400
  • Total Puts add 6.7 lakh shares in Open Interest
  • Total Calls add 17.6 lakh shares in Open Interest
  • Highest OI buildup seen in 5000 Put & 5500 Call
  • 5000 Put sheds 94K shares in Open Interest
  • 5500 Call sheds 3.7 lakh shares in Open Interest
  • 5400 Call adds 6.3 lakh shares in Open Interest
  • 5300 Put adds 1.8 lakh shares in Open Interest
  • 5100 Put adds 1.1 lakh shares in Open Interest
  • Total Nifty Futures added 3.3 lakh shares in OI.
  • Stock Futures adds 93.3 lakh shares in OI
  • Nifty PCR fell to 1.15 from 1.17.
  • India VIX closed at 16.33 down by 0.24%
  • FIIs in F&O on August 09
  • FIIs net buy Rs 27 cr in Index Futures; Index Futures Open Int Contracts up by 15419
  • FIIs net buy Rs 438 cr in Index Options; Index Options Open Int Contracts up by 42998
  • FIIs net sell Rs 331 cr in Stock Futures; Stock Futures Open Int Contracts up by 24381

Nifty Out Look & FII Derivatives Data – 09 August’2012

The Bse Index Closes on Wednesday at 17601 down 1 Points or -0.01% and the Nifty fasten store at 5338, up 1 points from the previous close or +0.02%. The CNX Midcap index was up 0.3% while the BSE Small cap index gains 0.4% in Yesterdays Trade. The market breadth was negative with advances at 582 against declines of 873 on the NSE.

It was an impulsive session in the markets today with both benchmark indices closing flat after on the brink both ways. Realty, banking and capital goods were the biggest losers in today’s session while auto and metal closed with noteworthy gains.

Nifty Top Gainers in Yesterday’s Trade: M&M, Bpcl, Hindalco and Grasim

Nifty Top Losers in Yesterday’s Trade: Bharati, Gail, Dlf and Pnb.

 Stock Cipher:

  • VIP Industries Q1FY13 YoY net profit at Rs.23.5 cr vs Rs.38.4 cr; net sales at Rs.301.7 cr vs Rs.279.2 cr.
  • Bharti Airtel Q1 net profit at Rs 762.2 cr vs Rs 1006 cr (QoQ); net sales at Rs 19,350.1 cr vs Rs 18729.4 cr (QoQ).
  • Punj Lloyd Q1FY13 consolidated YoY net loss at Rs.13.4 cr vs loss of Rs.12.2 cr; net Sales at Rs.2,707 cr vs Rs.2,248.3 cr.
  • Sobha Developers Q1FY13 consolidated QoQ net profit at Rs.45 cr Vs Rs.96.8 cr; net sales at Rs.432 cr Rs.522 cr.
  • Bombay Dyeing Q1FY13 YoY loss at Rs.27.5 cr vs loss of Rs.40 cr; revenue at Rs.487 cr vs Rs 403 cr.
  • Veritas has advised to sell all Indiabulls Group stocks.
  • Bharti Airtel is planning offer for sale in Bharti Infratel. The company might sell 10% in Bharti Infratel via offer for sale. The board will take a call on Bharti Infratel listing.
  • Alembic Pharma is in product development and license agreement with Accu-Break. Accu-Break is a US-based pharma company.
  • Supreme Court has adjourned Essar Oil Sales Tax case to August 23.
  • Strides Arcolab has got US FDA nod for Oxaliplatin Injection. The company will launch Oxaliplatin Injection through Pfizer.
  • Kingfisher Airlines has cancelled 31 flights from Delhi and Mumbai due to employee strike.
  • Jet Airways finally decides to return plot in BKC; MMRDA may slap Rs 350 cr fine.
  • GVK Power Q1 cons net loss at Rs 64.3 cr Vs profit of Rs 58.9 cr (YoY); cons net sales at Rs 818.6 cr Vs Rs 612.3 cr (YoY).
  • Chambal Fertilisers Q1 net profit at Rs 77 cr Vs Rs 63.7 cr (YoY); total income Rs 1,364.4 cr Vs Rs 1,164.4 cr (YoY). Other Income at Rs 17.5 cr Vs Rs 30.4 cr (YoY).
  • Mahindra and Mahindra Q1 net profit at Rs 726 cr vs Rs 604.9 cr (YoY); net sales at Rs 9248 cr vs Rs 6628 cr (YoY). Other income at Rs 60 cr vs Rs 55 cr (YoY).
  • Oil India Q1 net profit at Rs 930 cr Vs Rs 849.6 cr (YoY); Total Income at Rs 2,440 cr Vs Rs 2,366.1 cr (YoY).
  • ABB Q2 net profit at Rs 51.6 cr Vs Rs 38.7 cr (YoY); net sales Rs 1,860 cr Vs Rs 1,693 cr (YoY)
  • Aban Offshore Q1 net profit at Rs 52 cr Vs Rs 88.6 cr (YoY); net sales at Rs 850 cr Rs 731.3 cr (YoY)
  • Rahul Dhir steps down as MD & CEO of Cairn India w.e.f. August 31. He steps down to pursue his entrepreneurial interests. P Elango will be appointed as Interim CEO of the company.

FII DERIVATIVES DATA

  • FII bought 28568 contracts of Nifty worth Rs. 709.97 Crores with Net Open Interest increasing by 11204 contracts.
  • As Nifty Futures up by 7 Points and OI has increased by 11204 contracts logically means FII have added longs in Index Future, but the data sheet says they have started exiting longs and started booking profits in long terms.
  • NF closed at 5338 after making high of farming a Gravestone Doji candle stick. This shows the inability of bulls to further push up prices. As mentioned earlier the range of 5350-5380 is a supply zone. Cannot be broken in a single attempt. Bulls tried today and failed. Tomorrow we have the IIP data and market can moves wild if data is not supportive
  • In 9 days of august OI Nifty Future has closely positive in all days expect  2 August, so such the power of liquidity drive rally. FII have added net 144640 in Open Interest when Nifty has moved 231 Points.
  • Nifty August OI is at 2.36 Crores with an additional of 4.73 Lakhs in OI, longs were again added.
  • Total F&O turnover was 1.5 lakh Crores with total contract traded at 2.6 lakhs
  • FII bought 1114 Crores and DII sold 794 Crores in cash segment. INR closes at 55.54

The Level 5333-77 has lot of Resistance. So some more time consolidation needed to jump over this level Bulls can seen close above 5377 if results and Data’s favor them. They can start journey to 5511.

On lower Side 5288 and 5244 are Next Steps. 5155 is most important support for bulls. A close below 5155 can lead Nifty towards 5066 and 4977.

Last Close at 5331 down 4 points, Last High at 5377 Low at 5331, Weekly High at 5377 and low at 5129 and 5 DMA at 5280, 20 DMA at 5204, 50 DMA at 5160 and 200 DMA at 5109.

5-Days Relative Strength Index at 80 and 14-Days Relative Strength Index at 63. It Indicates Nifty Placed in BULLISH precinct.

NIFTY: RESISTANCE @ It has the First resistance close to the level 5355 and above the level marks the track point at 5377 later zooper levels at 5400 marks.

SUPPORT@ It has the first support close to the level of 5311 and below this level mark next support is seen at 5288 later dipping levels near 5244 marks.

NIFTY FUT MOMENTUM CALLS FOR 09 Aug’2012:

Buy Nifty August Future above 5355 Sl 5311 Tgt 5377-5399 {Or} Sell Nifty August Future below 5311 Sl 5333 Tgt 5288-5266.

Overseas Market – FII Activity for Indian Equity & Debt Market

  • European shares closed at four months high on Monday, with shares driving gains on the back of recent U.S. economic data and hopes for fresh policy actions to help debt-market strugglers Spain and Italy.
  • Stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs data also lifted sentiment towards equity markets. As a result, the FTSEurofirst 300 index ended 0.4 percent higher at 1,085.79 points. Spain’s benchmark IBEX stockmarket index which was halted for several hours due to a technical glitch, rose 4.4 percent, while Italy’s FTSE MIB gained 1.5 percent on expectations that any support from the ECB to lower borrowing costs will help the economy.
  • On the flip side, U.S. stocks surged on Monday on ECB Speculation as German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s government backed the European Central Bank’s bond-buying plan. Hopes for fresh policy actions to help debt-market strugglers Spain and Italy buoyed the market sentiment as a result Spanish and Italian notes increased, while commodities reversed declines. The nonfarm payrolls report put traders in a good mood, after four days of being in a bad mood, of the market’s best session in more than a month. Sentiment brightened further with U.S. economic data. Among the individual stocks, Knight Capital Group Inc., the firm driven to the brink of bankruptcy by trading losses last week, tumbled 24 percent.
  • The three main indices closed in green after sentiments were brightened by better-than-expected July job date and improving economic date. Cheering the news, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 21.34 points, or 0.16 percent, to 13,117.51 at the close. The Nasdaq Composite Index ended up 22.01 points, or 0.74 percent, to end at 2,989.91 and Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 3.24 of a point, or 0.23 percent, to 1,394.23.
  • Crude oil opened the week with a 1.0 per cent gain at USD 92.30 per barrel. Natural gas also closed in positive terrain with 1 per cent gain at USD 2.91 per MMBtu as the weaker dollar gave them a boost.
  • Following the crude’s footsteps, Gold closed the day’s trading with 0.4 per cent gain at USD 1616.00 per ounce. However, Silver settled 0.3 per cent higher at USD 27.87 per ounce.

FII ACIVITY

    • On Monday, the FIIs continued to support Indian equity and debt market.
  • Gross equity purchased stood at Rs. 1,509.60 Crore and gross debt purchased stood at Rs. 179.00 Crore, while the gross equity sold stood at Rs. 1,341.90 Crore and gross debt sold stood at Rs. 139.60 Crore.
  • Therefore, the net investment of equity and debt reported were Rs. 167.70 Crore and Rs. 39.40.

Stock Market View – 03 August’2012

The Bse Index Closes on Thursday at 17224 down 33 Points or -0.19% and the Nifty fasten store at 5228, down 12 points from the previous close or -0.24%. The CNX Midcap index was up 0.3% while the BSE Small cap index gains 0.5% in Yesterdays Trade. The market breadth was positive with advances at 789 against declines of 624 on the NSE.

The markets traded range-bound throughout the day and closed with moderate declines. Oil and gas, banking and auto were the biggest losers in Yesterday’s session while consumer durables, power and capital goods gained significantly.

Nifty Top Gainers in Yesterday’s Trade:

S.NO

SCRIP

LTP

% Change

01

NTPC

163.50

+3.81

02

BHEL

223.70

+1.50

03

AXIS BANK

1,059.10

+1.25

04

SAIL

86.70

+0.99

05

JINDAL STEEL

403.70

+0.93

Nifty Top Losers in Yesterday’s Trade:

S.NO

SCRIP

LTP

% Change

01

CAIRN

330.75

-2.40

02

TATA MOTORS

222.50

-2.13

03

BPCL

353.70

-1.79

04

TATA POWER

98.25

-1.60

05

CIPLA

348.60

-1.53

Stock Cipher:

  • Mahindra and Mahindra (M&M) and Telphonics Corp are in joint venture to make defence equipment. M&M will license technology from Telephonics for equipment.
  • Hero MotoCorp Sales:

               Total Sales down 1.5% at 4.84 lk Units Vs 4.91 lk Units YoY

Total Sales down 9.3% at 4.84 lk units vs 5.34 lk units QoQ

  • SBI has cut home loan rate up to Rs 30 lakh to 10.25% from 10.5%.

                It has cut the rate on Home loans from Rs 30-75 lakh to 10.4% from 10.75%; cuts rate on Home

Loans above Rs 75 lakh to 10.4% from 11%.

SBI has also cut the Auto loans to 10.75% from 11.25%. It has cut the auto loan rates by 50 bps

Effective August 7

  • Voltas Q1FY13 consolidated (YoY) net profit at Rs.79.1 cr Vs Rs.132 cr ; Net sales at Rs.1,611.6 cr Vs Rs.1,345.7 cr.
  • Trendy Knit has gone for stock split from Rs 10 to Rs 1.
  • Kale Consultants hits 52-week high on strong Q1 results.
  • Manappuram Finance rises 3% on solid Q1 numbers.
  • Jet fuel prices hike for 2nd time in a month by 4.5% effective August 1.
  • Punjab National Bank has increased the deposit rate by 25 bps to 9% on deposits less than Rs 1 cr.
  • Bajaj Auto’s total sales in July slipped 5% (YoY) to 3,44,150 units amid sluggish demand for motorcycles, especially the premium segment.
  • NIIT Tech tanks 10% after promoters offload 7.4% stake.
  • Ashok Leyland’s July Auto total sales up 25% at 9,785 units (YoY). Light Commercial Vehicle sales at 2,803 units.
  • Cummins India Q1 net profit at Rs 181 cr vs Rs 177.2 cr (YoY); total income at Rs 1,258.7 cr vs Rs 1033.5 cr (YoY).
  • Goa govt amends stamp duty; mine owners to pay 15% royalty.
  • Hotel Leela Q1 net loss at Rs 102 cr vs loss of Rs 26.5 cr (YoY); net sales at Rs 138 cr vs Rs 112 cr (YoY).
  • Hotel Leela has approved Rs 100 Crore preferential allotment to a promoter group company and a resolution to raise up to Rs 1000 crore.

It was a Choppy Market Yesterday Trade clogging Consolidation going at 5200-5244 levels, 5288 is the next Resistance for Bulls. Trades and closes above 5288 May jump Nifty To 5355-5444 Levels and Vice-Versa Down side Support at 5200-5155 levels if closes below 5111 can bring Blood Bath.

Last Close at 5227 down 13 points, Last High at 5236 Low at 5209, Weekly High at 5246 and low at 5032 and 5 DMA at 5199, 20 DMA at 5208, 50 DMA at 5134 and 200 DMA at 5105.

5-Days Relative Strength Index at 63 and 14-Days Relative Strength Index at 55. It Indicates Nifty Placed in BULLISH precinct.

NIFTY: RESISTANCE @ It has the First resistance close to the level 5244 and above the level marks the track point at 5266 later zooper levels at 5288 marks.

SUPPORT@ It has the first support close to the level of 5222 and below this level mark next support is seen at 5200 later dipping levels near 5155 marks.

NIFTY FUT MOMENTUM CALLS FOR 03 Aug’2012:

Buy Nifty August Future above 5266 Sl 5244 Tgt 5288-5311 {Or} Sell Nifty August Future below 5222 Sl 5244 Tgt 5200-5177.