Arbitrage Funds – A Good Venture Opportunity in Volatile Markets

Arbitrage Funds:  A good venture opportunity in volatile markets, Mutual FundsEquity markets are witnessing excessive volatility in recent times due to a host of factors in domestic as well as global economies. While lower GDP growth, high fiscal and trade deficit, rising subsidy bill and depreciation of the rupee affect the domestic economy, global markets are facing the heat of the European debt crisis. These factors have taken a toll on the stock markets and diversified equity funds dropped more than 8% on an average over the last one year. Under these circumstances, one may explore a class of mutual funds where regular returns can be obtained by taking very little risk irrespective of the market conditions. Sounds strange? Welcome to the world of arbitrage funds.

How the concept works

Arbitrage funds aim to generate income by using arbitrage opportunities between the cash market and the futures (or derivatives) market. The arbitrage gain can be achieved by taking advantage of the mispricing that exists between the cash and the derivatives market. For example, let us assume that the stock of ABC Company is trading at Rs. 200. Let us also consider that the stock is traded in derivatives segment as well (all scrip’s are not traded in the derivative segment), where its future price is Rs. 210. In such a situation, an investor will be able to make a risk-free profit by selling a futures contract of ABC Company at Rs. 210 and buy an equivalent number of shares in the cash market at Rs. 200. When the settlement day will come, it wouldn’t matter which direction the stock price of the company has taken in the mean time because on the date of expiry (settlement date), the price of equity shares and their stock futures will tend to coincide. Now, the initial transaction has to be reversed, that is, buy back the contract in the futures market and sell off the equity. Thus four transactions have taken place: buying stocks, selling futures, selling stocks and finally buying futures. In this way, an investor earns the spread of Rs. 10 between the purchase price of the equity shares and the sale price of futures contract, irrespective of the share price.

Different arbitrage opportunities

The arbitrage opportunity mainly arrives when there is more volatility in the markets because heavy volatility leads to more mispricing in cash and futures market. Moreover, when a company merges with or taken over by another company, arbitrage opportunities may arise due to mispricing of the scrip. Also if the company announces buy-back of its own shares, there could be arbitrage opportunities due to difference in buy-back price and traded price. During declaration of dividend, the stock futures/options market can also provide an arbitrage opportunity as the stock price normally drops by the dividend amount when the stock goes ex-dividend. The mispricing across various indices can lead to arbitrage opportunities.

Different Arbitrage Opportunities

Over last 1-year, 3-year and 5-year time periods, the average returns generated by arbitrage funds were 8.73%, 6.9% and 7.15% respectively. The likes of ICICI Prudential Blended Plan – Option A , IDFC Arbitrage Fund – Plan A (Regular) , JM Arbitrage Advantage Fund , Kotak Equity Arbitrage Fund , Reliance Arbitrage Advantage Fund – Growth and SBI Arbitrage Opportunities Fund – Growth delivered more than 9% returns over the last one year.

Limitations

Arbitrage funds also have their limitations, which are particularly evident when there is stability in the market. Mispricing opportunities are relatively lower in stable market conditions and arbitrage funds normally lag in such situations. Also, cost issues are there in arbitrage funds. The brokerages and commissions involved in buying and selling futures and stocks, affect the returns of funds.

Tax perspective

Arbitrage funds are classified as equity or non-equity funds as per their average equity holdings. If the average equity component is more than 65%, it will be considered as an equity fund. Accordingly from tax perspective, the fund will get benefits of no dividend distribution tax, and no capital gains tax if sold after one year. But if this asset allocation level is not maintained, it will be treated as a non-equity fund and will be taxed like a debt fund.

Types of Mutual Funds – Equity Based, Balanced, Income Mutual Funds

Mutual Fund – Mutual fund is one of the popular investment instruments for the people who want to earn money from the stock market but don’t have enough time to look into the technicalities of the stocks or don’t have the required expertise to make their stock investment profitable.

The private and public stock and security companies offer various types of mutual fund schemes to participate the common people in stock investment. This is the best investment option for all those who wants to earn good profit and want to take benefits of roaring bull dragging the sensex, nifty and other sensexes in positive trend.

Types of Mutual Funds –

There are various types of Mutual funds are available in the stock market and offered by the stock investment and security companies. Based on the number of sectors, segments, sensex and other factors, companies launch varieties of mutual funds. One can invest in mutual fund based on the individual sector interest. Here it is described few of the mutual funds.

Equity based Mutual funds – This type of fund is completely 100% investment in stock market equity. The type of fund carries high risk value of price fluctuation and having good potentiality to earn good profit in a shorter duration.

Balanced Mutual Funds – This type of mutual fund is a great combination of investment option in fixed income investment options and equity investment. This is one of the best ways to invest in an instrument which carries moderate risk and good for the people who wants the benefit of double situation and want to invest in less risky mutual fund. The gain out of this financial instrument is also moderate when you risk capacity is moderate. But for middle class people those who love to their hard earned money and not ready to lose money with moderate gain satisfaction. The investment ratio in this instrument can be 60-40 or 40-60 proportionately for equity and fixed income investments. This ratio is defined by the mutual fund promoting company based on market situation and company policy.

Bond – Income Funds – This investment is completely secured with 100% investment in Government bonds and securities or bank Fixed deposits. This investment carries very low risk with average income. This is the safest instrument for people who do not want to invest in equity market at all.

There are many other types of mutual funds like international mutual funds, specialty funds and index funds based on various sensex moves. Based on risk appetite capacity, one can invest in particular type of mutual fund. Equity and commodity advisory services provides the best information about which mutual is best for your growing needs.

Market Outlook: Nifty Levels for 02 August’2012

The Bse Index Closes on Wednesday at 17257 up 21 Points or +0.12% and the Nifty fasten store at 5240, up 11 points from the previous close or +0.22%. The CNX Midcap index was up 0.9% while the BSE Small cap index gains 1.1% in Yesterdays Trade. The market breadth was positive with advances at 947 against declines of 490 on the NSE.

The markets clogged with restrained gains today with healthcare, capital goods and realty being the biggest gainers. Metal and oil & gas closed with significant losses. Top Gainers in Yesterday’s Trade were Cipla, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Ambuja Cement and JP Associates & Losers were Coal India, Sesa Goa,Ongc and Hero Motocorp.

Stock Cipher:

  • Delta Corp Q1 cons net profit at Rs 16.1 cr vs Rs 11.8 cr (YoY); cons net sales at Rs 72 cr vs Rs 91.2 cr (YoY).
  • Karvy has filed a forgery case against Deccan Chronicle.
  • IDBI Q1FY13 YoY Net Profit at Rs.427.3 Cr vs Rs.335 Cr; NII at Rs.1270.6 Cr Vs Rs.1211 Cr.
  • Godrej Properties will be developing 1.85 lakh sq ft Ghatkopar Township.
  • 3i Infotech has allotted 2.14 cr shares at Rs 19.74/share as per CDR (Corporate Debt Restructure) package to various lenders.
  • EID Parry Q1FY13 YoY Consolidated Net Profit at Rs.106 Cr Vs Rs.95.5 Cr; Net Sales at Rs.2,666.3 Cr Vs Rs.2,489 Cr.
  • Uninor decides to auction its mobile services business and ancillary operations in various circles; Unitech nominees on the board have opposed the auction.
  • State-owned oil companies hike ATF prices by average Rs 2876.75/kl.
  • Maruti Suzuki July total sales up 9.2% at 82,234 Units (YoY). Domestic Sales at 71,024 Units Vs 66,504 Units (YoY). Exports at 11,210 Units Vs 8,796 Units (YoY). Dzire Sales at 11,413 Units Vs 3,021 Units (YoY).
  • Orissa Minerals Development Company is planning for a bonus share issue and stock split on August 9. The company is looking forward for meger of Bisra Stone Lime with itself on August 9.
  • PVR Q1 cons net profit at Rs 7.6 cr vs loss Rs 13.2 cr (QoQ); cons net sales at Rs 176 cr vs Rs 117.7 cr (QoQ).
  • Adani Power Q1 cons net loss at Rs 810 cr Vs Rs 181 cr profit (YoY); cons net sales at Rs 1,502 cr Vs Rs 855 cr (YoY).
  • M&M July Sales: Total Sales at 47,059 Vs 39,633 units (YoY).
  • Cipla has got US FDA nod for Insomnia drug ambient generic.
  • July Auto Sales Tata Motors:
    Total Sales (GU)15% at 74,159 at units (YoY)
    Domestic Sales (GU)18% at 68,627 at units (YoY)
    PV Sales (GU)53% at 26,240 at units (YoY)
    Nano Sales at 5,485 at units Vs 3,260 at units (YoY)
    Exports at 5,532 at units Vs 6,512 at units (YoY)
  • Orient Paper Q1 net profit at Rs 48.9 cr vs Rs 59.4 cr (YoY); net sales at Rs 657 cr vs Rs 524 cr (YoY)
  • Jaypee Infra Q1 net profit at Rs 209 cr vs Rs 238 cr (YoY); net sales at Rs 678 cr vs Rs 617 cr (YoY),
  • CEAT Q1 cons net profit at Rs 29 cr vs loss of Rs 41 cr (YoY); cons net sales at Rs 1,225 cr vs Rs 1,110.5 cr (YoY).
  • Eicher Motor July Auto Sales: Total Bus, Truck Sales (Reduced) 13.2% at 3,602 Units (YoY).
  • GSK Consumer Q2 net profit at Rs 106.6 cr Vs Rs 82.5 cr, net sales at Rs 729.7 cr Vs Rs 653.4 cr (YoY).

Last Close at 5240 up 11 points, Last High at 5246 Low at 5212, Weekly High at 5246 and low at 5032 and 5 DMA at 5162, 20 DMA at 5213, 50 DMA at 5128 and 200 DMA at 5105.

5-Days Relative Strength Index at 68 and 14-Days Relative Strength Index at 56. It Indicates Nifty Placed in BULLISH precinct.

NIFTY: RESISTANCE @ It has the First resistance close to the level 5244 and above the level marks the track point at 5266 later zooper levels at 5288 marks.

SUPPORT@ It has the first support close to the level of 5222 and below this level mark next support is seen at 5200 later dipping levels near 5155 marks.

NIFTY FUT MOMENTUM CALLS FOR 02 Aug’2012:

Buy Nifty August Future above 5266 Sl 5244 Tgt 5288-5311 {Or} Sell Nifty August Future below 5222 Sl 5244 Tgt 5200-5177.