Commodity Trading Tips & Global Events – 25 Oct’2012

GOLD:

Gold trading projected high range for the day is 30929-31027

Gold trading projected low range for the day is 31019-30921

Gold prices ended lower as a weak reading of the German economy lifted the dollar versus the euro.

US Fed Reserve stuck to its plan to keep stimulating growth until job market improves but made few surprises in its policy statement

Fed also repeated its vow to keep rates near zero until mid-2015 and its pledge to keep supporting growth

Gold is trading below 50DMA, which is at 31615

Major Resistance on upside at 30963-31091-31219

Trend Deciding Level at 30895

Major Support on downside at 30767-30699-30571

SILVER:

Silver trading projected high range for the day is 59291-59365

Silver trading projected low range for the day is 59461-59117

Silver ended down as from worries about economic slowdown after a raft of disappointing U.S. corporate earnings statements

Fed added that conditions meriting exceptionally low interest rates will stick around likely through 2015

Holdings at ishares silver trust gained by 30.12 tonnes to 9918.67 tonnes.

Silver is trading below 50DMA, which is at 62050

Major Resistance on upside at 59435-59836-60236

Trend Deciding Level at 59148

Major Support on downside at 58747-58460-58058

CRUDE:

Crude trading projected high range for the day is 4682-4732

Crude trading projected low range for the day is 4692-4643

Crude oil fell adding to losses after a U.S. government report showed oil supplies rose more-than-expected last week.

U.S. EIA said in its weekly report that U.S. crude oil inventories increased by 5.9 million barrels

China is the world’s second largest oil consumer after the U.S. and has been the engine of strengthening demand

Major Resistance on upside at 4705-4758-4811

Trend Deciding Level at 4659

Major Support on downside at 4606-4560-4507

COPPER: Copper trading projected high range for the day is 428-430

Copper trading projected low range for the day is 427.3-425.43

Copper ended with slight gains as signs of recovery in China supported prices but gains were limited as dollar rose

China HSBC Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) rose to a three-month high of 49.1 in October

Germany’s flash manufacturing PMI fell to 45.7 in October, from final reading of 47.4 in September, disappointing expectations.

Warehouse stock for Copper at LME was at 222350mt that is down by -250mt.

Major Resistance on upside at 429.09-430.72-432.35

Trend Deciding Level at 427

Major Support on downside at 425.34-423.22-421.59 MENTHA OIL:

Mentha Oil trading projected high range for the day is 1144-1157

Mentha Oil trading projected low range for the day is 1150-1137

is at 1325/-.Spot market is up by Rs.20/-.

Mentha Oil gains on some short covering after prices dropped on the back of strong domestic production

In the current year, cultivators are estimating the total mentha oil production in the range of 51000-53000 tonnes

On 22nd October, total stock of Mentha oil at MCX-monitored warehouses at Chandausi was 1, 00, 677 kg

Major Resistance on upside at 1150-1165-1180

Trend Deciding Level at 1138

Major Support on downside at 1123-1112-1097

Today Commodity Trading Tips:

  • BUY SILVER MCX DEC ABOVE 59120 SL 58900 TGT 59260-59420
  • BUY MENTHA OIL MCX OCT ABOVE 1140 SL 1128 TGT 1148-1156
  • BUY SOYABEAN NCDEX NOV ABOVE 3245 SL 3215 TGT 3260-3290

Today Major Global Events:

Date & Time

Region

Event

Period

Survey

Prior

25/10/2012 & 14:00

UK

GDP {QoQ}

3QA

0.60%

-0.40%

25/10/2012 & 18:00

US

Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index

Sep

-0.2

-0.87

25/10/2012 & 18:00

US

Durable Goods Order

Sep

7.00%

-13.20%

25/10/2012 & 18:00

US

Jobless Claims

20-Oct

370K

388K

25/10/2012 &18:00

US

Consulting Claims

13-Oct

3262K

3252K

25/10/2012 & 19:30

US

Pending Home Sales {MoM}

Sep

2.50%

-2.60%