Overseas Market & Cues – 18 Sep’2012

Posted on September 18, 2012 by Sree Lakshmi Reddy

Asian markets were trading lower. China’s Shanghai Composite was down 0.48% or 9.92 points at 2,068.58.
Japan’s Nikkei was flat at 9,163.77.
Singapore’s Straits Times was down 0.25% or 7.58 points at 3,071.14.
South Korea’s Seoul Composite was down 0.21% or 4.16 points at 1,998.19.
Taiwan’s Taiwan Weighted was down 0.42% or 32.80 points at 7,729.42.
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng was up 0.16% or 32.58 points at 20,690.69.
The US markets snap a four-day rally, pulling back from Fed-fueled multi-year highs, amid fresh geopolitical worries and following a sharp drop in oil prices. Despite the day’s pullback, all three major averages are still up more than 3% for the month.
Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.3% or 40.27 points at 13553.1. Nasdaq Composite was down 0.17% or 5.28 points at 3178.67. Standard & Poor’s 500 was down 0.31% or 4.58 points at 1461.19.
In stock specific action Apple crossed USD 700 a share in after-hours trading after closing at a new all-time high after the company said iphone 5 sales set a record over the weekend.
On economic data front, factory activity in New York state contracted for a second month in a row in September, falling to its lowest level in nearly 3-1/2 years as new orders shrank further.
In key data to watch out for in US today, housing market index is expected to rise to 38 in September.
In the currency space, the dollar hovers around 7-month lows against a basket of major currencies. The dollar index was below the 79 mark.
In commodities, Brent crude slipped to USD 111 levels in 3 minutes yesterday. It pares its losses to trade back above USD 114. In the meanwhile the US commodity futures trading commission is looking into the reason for the fall.
From the previous metals space, gold prices slip marginally to USD 1760 levels.
Indian ADRs ended lower on Monday. In the IT space, Wipro was down 0.78% at USD 8.92, Patni was down 0.21% at USD 19.06 and Infosys was up 0.08% at USD 48.19.
In the Banking space, HDFC Bank was down 0.32% at USD 37.02 and ICICI Bank was up 2.38% at USD 39.1. In the Telecom space, Tata Communication was down 1.22% at USD 8.88 and MTNL was down 2.04% at USD 1.44.
In the other space, Sterlite was up 0.13% at USD 7.69, Tata Motors was down 1.61% at USD 25 and Dr Reddys was down 2.83% at USD 30.93.

Market cues:

FIIs net buy USD 522 million in cash market on Sep 14
MFs net sell Rs 202 crore in cash market on Sep 14
As per provisional data of September 17, FIIs were net buyers of Rs 2252 crore in cash market. FIIs were net buyers of Rs 1976 cr in F&O. DIIs were net sellers of Rs 838 cr in cash market.

F&O cues:

Nifty options suggest market range of 5400-5700
Total Puts add 42.4 lakh shares in Open Interest
Total Calls adds 10.3 lakh shares in Open Interest
5800 Call adds 22 lakh shares in Open Interest
5700 Call adds 7.7 lakh shares in Open Interest
5600 Put adds 11 lakh shares in Open Interest
5500 Put adds 9 lakh shares in Open Interest
5600 Call sheds 14 lakh shares in Open Interest
Total Nifty Futures added 12.3 lakh shares in OI
Stock Futures adds 62.2 lakh shares in OI
Nifty PCR rose to 1.1 from 1.03
India VIX closed at 17.78 up by 15.6%
FIIs in F&O on Sep 17
FIIs net buy Rs 1122 cr in Index Futures; Index Futures Open Int contracts up by 21420
FIIs net buy Rs 541 cr in Index Options; Index Options Open Int contracts up by 118440
FIIs net buy Rs 428 cr in Stock Futures; Stock Futures Open Int contracts up by 11715

Nifty out Look & FII Data – 21 August’2012

Posted on August 21, 2012 by Sree Lakshmi Reddy

The Bse Index Closes on Friday at 17691 up 34 Points or +0.19% and the Nifty fasten store at 5366, up 3 points from the previous close or +0.06%. The CNX Midcap index was down 0.1% while the BSE Small cap index gains 0.02% in Fridays Trade. The market breadth was negative with advances at 654 against declines of 797 on the NSE.

The markets lost all the gains on Friday morning trade and closed flat. FMCG, IT, auto and consumer durables were the biggest gainers in Friday’s session while realty, power and metal tried to pull the indices down.

Nse India Top Gainers in Friday’s Trade: Tata Motors, Hul, Itc and Infosyis.

Nse India Top Losers in Friday’s Trade: Jindal Steel, Tata Power, Reliance Infra and Dlf.

Stock Cipher:

UltraTech and Lupin will be replacing SAIL and Sterlite in Nifty from Sept 28, 2012.
Cairn India has acquired 60% in offshore Block 1 in South Africa.
Dhanlaxmi bank is planning to cut stake in Destimoney from 13% to 5%.
Tata Global arm has bought the remaining 49% in Russian SuntyCo Holding.
US firm Santarus has sued Dr Reddy. It has accused Dr Reddy for infringing its patents on heartburn drug Zegerid.
Rupee at close: Rupee ends at 55.73 to the dollar vs 55.76 on Thursday.

FII DERIVATIVES DATA

FII bought 12876 Contracts of NF, worth 279 cores with net OI increasing by 8208 contracts.
As Nifty Future was up by 0.35 points and OI has increased by 8208, FII have used the dip to buy into Index futures.
Nifty Spot closed at 5366 after making a high of 5400; Bulls were unable to close nifty above 5380 resistance zone which shows the supply pressure coming at higher levels.
Resistance for Nifty has come up to 5390 and 5400 (as its swing high in Oct 2011) which needs to be watched closely ,Support now exists at 5328 and 5309 .Trend is still buy on Dips till 5244 is not broken on closing basis.
Nifty August OI is at 2.56 cores with an unwinding of 2.3 Lakh in OI, longs were liquidated by Retailers and HNI.As OI figure saw an unwinding of 1.19 lakhs i expect some good move tomorrow this is what we discussed on Thursday and on Friday we had a range of 72 points
Total F&O turnover was 1.25 lakh Cores with total contract traded at 2.4 lakh lowest in 2012.
5300 CE also saw an addition of 2.79 lakhs with total OI now standing at 41 lakhs ,5400 CE saw an addition of 1.85 lakhs and total OI stands at 67 lakhs making immediate ceiling for market, 5500 CE still having highest OI of 93 lakhs, , 5000-5600 CE saw an addition of 2.6 lakhs in OI.
On Put side 5000 PE saw an unwinding of 1.4 lakhs, strong support of Nifty as total OI at 1.01 core.5000-5500 PE added total of 7 lakhs in OI.5300 PE added 5 lakh in OI and having the OI at 91 lakhs which suggests traders are getting confident that 5300 will not break in near term and immediate support in any pullback.5400 PE also added 7.2 Lakh in OI and FII were net buyers of Options yesterday so are they are buying puts to hedge their longs.
FII bought 308 cores and DII bought 40 cores in cash segment. FII has sold 161 cores in stock futures.
Nifty Futures Trend Deciding level is 5387, Trend Changer at 5298 NIFTYF (Above this Level Bulls will rule Nifty/Below this levels Bears have upper hand).
5 DMA at 5356
20 DMA at 5244
50 DMA at 5212
200 DMA at 5115
5-Days Relative Strength Index at 72
14-Days Relative Strength Index at 64. It Indicates Nifty Placed in BULLISH precinct.

NIFTY: RESISTANCE @ It has the First resistance close to the level 5377 and above the level marks the track point at 5400 later zooper levels at 5444 marks.

SUPPORT@ It has the first support close to the level of 5355 and below this level mark next support is seen at 5333 later dipping levels near 5288 marks.

NIFTY FUT MOMENTUM CALLS FOR 21 Aug’2012:

Buy Nifty August Future above 5400 Sl 5377 Tgt 5422-5444 {Or} Sell Nifty August Future below 5355 Sl 5377 Tgt 5333-5311.

Overseas Market View – F&O Cues

Posted on August 14, 2012 by Sree Lakshmi Reddy

The US markets eased off their session lows but still ended in the red, with the S&P 500 snapping a six-day winning streak, amid fears of a global economic slowdown. The CBOE volatility index fell below 14 to its lowest level in almost five years.
Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.29% or 38.52 points at 13169.43. Nasdaq Composite was up 0.05% or 1.66 points at 3022.52. Standard & Poor’s 500 was down 0.13% or 1.76 points at 1404.11.
In key data to watch out for in the US today, the producer price index for the month of July is expected to edge up 0.2%. And retail sales may see a 0.3% growth in July.
In the currency space, the euro holds on to its yesterday gains ahead of the GDP data due from Germany and France.
In commodities, Brent crude prices retreat to USD 113 levels after touching an intraday high of USD 115 levels yesterday.
Indian ADRs ended lower on Monday. In the IT space, Infosys was down 0.93% at USD 41.4, Wipro was down 0.61% at USD 8.1 and Patni was down 0.58% at USD 18.6505.
In the Banking space, ICICI Bank was down 1.52% at USD 34.39 and HDFC Bank was down 0.93% at USD 35.25. In the Telecom space, Tata Communication was down 1.97% at USD 8.42 and MTNL was up 1.33% at USD 1.216.
In the other space, Dr Reddys was down 1.57% at USD 29.41, Tata Motors was down 1.09% at USD 20.81 and Sterlite was up 0.5% at USD 8.09.

F&O cues:

Nifty options suggest market range of 5200-5400
Total Puts add 15.4 lakh shares in Open Interest
Total Calls shed 3.6 lakh shares in Open Interest
Highest OI buildup seen in 5000 Put & 5500 Call
5000 Put sheds 1.75 lakh shares in Open Interest
5500 Call adds 29K shares in Open Interest
5300 Put adds 8.82 lakh shares in Open Interest
5200 Put adds 5.25 lakh shares in Open Interest
4900 Put adds 4 lakh shares in Open Interest
5400 Call sheds 5.95 lakh shares in Open Interest
5300 Call adds 22K shares in Open Interest
Total Nifty Futures added 10.4 lakh shares in OI
Stock Futures adds 1.7 cr shares in OI
Nifty PCR rose to 1.2 from 1.17
India VIX closed at 16.01 down by 0.37%
FIIs in F&O on August 13
FIIs net sell Rs 28 cr in Index Futures; Index Futures Open Int Contracts up by 22065
FIIs net sell Rs 410 cr in Index Options; Index Options Open Int Contracts up by 17193
FIIs net sell Rs 442 cr in Stock Futures; Stock Futures Open Int Contracts up by 5226

Nifty Out Look & FII Derivatives Data – 09 August’2012

Posted on August 9, 2012 by Sree Lakshmi Reddy

The Bse Index Closes on Wednesday at 17601 down 1 Points or -0.01% and the Nifty fasten store at 5338, up 1 points from the previous close or +0.02%. The CNX Midcap index was up 0.3% while the BSE Small cap index gains 0.4% in Yesterdays Trade. The market breadth was negative with advances at 582 against declines of 873 on the NSE.

It was an impulsive session in the markets today with both benchmark indices closing flat after on the brink both ways. Realty, banking and capital goods were the biggest losers in today’s session while auto and metal closed with noteworthy gains.

Nifty Top Gainers in Yesterday’s Trade: M&M, Bpcl, Hindalco and Grasim

Nifty Top Losers in Yesterday’s Trade: Bharati, Gail, Dlf and Pnb.

Stock Cipher:

VIP Industries Q1FY13 YoY net profit at Rs.23.5 cr vs Rs.38.4 cr; net sales at Rs.301.7 cr vs Rs.279.2 cr.
Bharti Airtel Q1 net profit at Rs 762.2 cr vs Rs 1006 cr (QoQ); net sales at Rs 19,350.1 cr vs Rs 18729.4 cr (QoQ).
Punj Lloyd Q1FY13 consolidated YoY net loss at Rs.13.4 cr vs loss of Rs.12.2 cr; net Sales at Rs.2,707 cr vs Rs.2,248.3 cr.
Sobha Developers Q1FY13 consolidated QoQ net profit at Rs.45 cr Vs Rs.96.8 cr; net sales at Rs.432 cr Rs.522 cr.
Bombay Dyeing Q1FY13 YoY loss at Rs.27.5 cr vs loss of Rs.40 cr; revenue at Rs.487 cr vs Rs 403 cr.
Veritas has advised to sell all Indiabulls Group stocks.
Bharti Airtel is planning offer for sale in Bharti Infratel. The company might sell 10% in Bharti Infratel via offer for sale. The board will take a call on Bharti Infratel listing.
Alembic Pharma is in product development and license agreement with Accu-Break. Accu-Break is a US-based pharma company.
Supreme Court has adjourned Essar Oil Sales Tax case to August 23.
Strides Arcolab has got US FDA nod for Oxaliplatin Injection. The company will launch Oxaliplatin Injection through Pfizer.
Kingfisher Airlines has cancelled 31 flights from Delhi and Mumbai due to employee strike.
Jet Airways finally decides to return plot in BKC; MMRDA may slap Rs 350 cr fine.
GVK Power Q1 cons net loss at Rs 64.3 cr Vs profit of Rs 58.9 cr (YoY); cons net sales at Rs 818.6 cr Vs Rs 612.3 cr (YoY).
Chambal Fertilisers Q1 net profit at Rs 77 cr Vs Rs 63.7 cr (YoY); total income Rs 1,364.4 cr Vs Rs 1,164.4 cr (YoY). Other Income at Rs 17.5 cr Vs Rs 30.4 cr (YoY).
Mahindra and Mahindra Q1 net profit at Rs 726 cr vs Rs 604.9 cr (YoY); net sales at Rs 9248 cr vs Rs 6628 cr (YoY). Other income at Rs 60 cr vs Rs 55 cr (YoY).
Oil India Q1 net profit at Rs 930 cr Vs Rs 849.6 cr (YoY); Total Income at Rs 2,440 cr Vs Rs 2,366.1 cr (YoY).
ABB Q2 net profit at Rs 51.6 cr Vs Rs 38.7 cr (YoY); net sales Rs 1,860 cr Vs Rs 1,693 cr (YoY)
Aban Offshore Q1 net profit at Rs 52 cr Vs Rs 88.6 cr (YoY); net sales at Rs 850 cr Rs 731.3 cr (YoY)
Rahul Dhir steps down as MD & CEO of Cairn India w.e.f. August 31. He steps down to pursue his entrepreneurial interests. P Elango will be appointed as Interim CEO of the company.

FII DERIVATIVES DATA

FII bought 28568 contracts of Nifty worth Rs. 709.97 Crores with Net Open Interest increasing by 11204 contracts.
As Nifty Futures up by 7 Points and OI has increased by 11204 contracts logically means FII have added longs in Index Future, but the data sheet says they have started exiting longs and started booking profits in long terms.
NF closed at 5338 after making high of farming a Gravestone Doji candle stick. This shows the inability of bulls to further push up prices. As mentioned earlier the range of 5350-5380 is a supply zone. Cannot be broken in a single attempt. Bulls tried today and failed. Tomorrow we have the IIP data and market can moves wild if data is not supportive
In 9 days of august OI Nifty Future has closely positive in all days expect 2 August, so such the power of liquidity drive rally. FII have added net 144640 in Open Interest when Nifty has moved 231 Points.
Nifty August OI is at 2.36 Crores with an additional of 4.73 Lakhs in OI, longs were again added.
Total F&O turnover was 1.5 lakh Crores with total contract traded at 2.6 lakhs
FII bought 1114 Crores and DII sold 794 Crores in cash segment. INR closes at 55.54

The Level 5333-77 has lot of Resistance. So some more time consolidation needed to jump over this level Bulls can seen close above 5377 if results and Data’s favor them. They can start journey to 5511.

On lower Side 5288 and 5244 are Next Steps. 5155 is most important support for bulls. A close below 5155 can lead Nifty towards 5066 and 4977.

Last Close at 5331 down 4 points, Last High at 5377 Low at 5331, Weekly High at 5377 and low at 5129 and 5 DMA at 5280, 20 DMA at 5204, 50 DMA at 5160 and 200 DMA at 5109.

5-Days Relative Strength Index at 80 and 14-Days Relative Strength Index at 63. It Indicates Nifty Placed in BULLISH precinct.

NIFTY: RESISTANCE @ It has the First resistance close to the level 5355 and above the level marks the track point at 5377 later zooper levels at 5400 marks.

SUPPORT@ It has the first support close to the level of 5311 and below this level mark next support is seen at 5288 later dipping levels near 5244 marks.

NIFTY FUT MOMENTUM CALLS FOR 09 Aug’2012:

Buy Nifty August Future above 5355 Sl 5311 Tgt 5377-5399 {Or} Sell Nifty August Future below 5311 Sl 5333 Tgt 5288-5266.