Nifty out Look, FII Derivative Data, Nifty Future Momentum Call – 29 August’2012

Posted on August 29, 2012 by Sree Lakshmi Reddy

The Bse Index put down the lid at 17632 down 47 points or -0.27% and Nifty Shut Stop at 5335 down 15 points or -0.29% from the previous close. CNX Midcap index was down 1% and BSE Small cap index was down 1.4% in Yesterday’s Trade. The market breadth was negative with advances at 335 against declines of 1096 on the NSE.

The markets closed with moderate declines today with metal taking a severe beating.

Top Nse India Gainers were: Power Grid, Tcs, Asian Paints and Dr. Reddy.

Top Nse India Lossers Were: Ster, Jindal Steel, Jp Assosiates and Hindalco.

FII Derivative Data:

FII bought 15439 Contracts of Index Future, worth 433 cores with net OI increasing by huge 69021 contracts.
As Nifty Future was down by 16 points and OI has increased by 69021, FII have created fresh longs in index futures ahead of expiry. FII buying is quiet visible even though mid caps and small cap Index were down by 1.1.5% NF was down by just 16 points.
Nifty Spot closed at 5335 after making the low of 5313; Bulls were under pressure from morning as they 5341 got broken on Nifty. Bears were unable to break the crucial support of 5313 which also is the low for today, shows next 2 days Bulls can be on roar if 5300 is not broken tomorrow.
Resistance for Nifty has come up to 5361 and 5392 which needs to be watched closely ,Support now exists at 5313 and 5294 .Trend is still buy on Dips till 5325 is not broken on closing basis.
Nifty August OI is at 2.0 cores with an unwinding of 32 Lakh in OI, but the same got rollover to September Series. September Series OI is at 1.16 lakhs so 32 lakhs got rollover and 24 lakh extra addition in OI. Longs are getting rollover to next series.
Total F&O turnover was 1.73 lakh Cores with total contract traded at 2.66 lakh, Volumes were quiet high today looking at brutal fall we have seen in mid caps stocks Adani, JIndals.
5300 CE also saw an addition of 5 lakhs with total OI now standing at 34 lakhs. 5400 CE saw an addition of 18 lakhs and total OI stands at 85 lakhs so 5400 CE writers are assuming Nifty will expire below 5400 and they can eat the whole premium, 5400 is immediate ceiling for the market.
5300 PE sheded 12 lakh in OI and having the OI at 95 lakhs which suggests traders are getting little jittery that 5300 will not break in August Expiry.5400 PE unwounded 13 Lakh in OI. So as NF closed below 5400 third day running, and Put writers got jittery as Nifty came near 5313. 5300 seems a strong base and 5400 strong resistance for next 2 days.FII net sold 877 cores in Options suggesting profit booking in Put option as they saw a huge unwinding of 25 lakhs basically in 5300 and 5400 PE.
FII bought 93 cores and DII sold 314 cores in cash segment.INR closed at 55.6. FII were again sellers of 551 cores in Stock futures.
Nifty Futures Trend Deciding level is 5328, Trend Changer at 5327 NF (Above this Level Bulls will rule Nifty/Below this levels Bears have upper hand).
5 DMA at 5380
20 DMA at 5325
50 DMA at 5247
200 DMA at 5118.
5 Days Relative Strengthen Index at 434 and 14 Days Relative Strengthen Index at 54. Indicates Nifty placed in NEUTRAL Zone.

Nifty Support & Resistance:

Nifty Resistance at It has the First resistance close to the level 5355 and above the level marks the track point at 5400 later zipper levels at 5444 marks.

Support at It has the first support close to the level of 5311 and below this level mark next support is seen at 5288 later dipping levels near 5266 marks.

Nifty Future Momentum Call for 29 Aug’2012:

Nifty Future Buy above 5355 sl 5333 Tgt 5400-5444{Or} Nifty Future Sell Below 5311 sl 5333 Tgt 5288-5266.

Nifty out Look & FII Data – 21 August’2012

Posted on August 21, 2012 by Sree Lakshmi Reddy

The Bse Index Closes on Friday at 17691 up 34 Points or +0.19% and the Nifty fasten store at 5366, up 3 points from the previous close or +0.06%. The CNX Midcap index was down 0.1% while the BSE Small cap index gains 0.02% in Fridays Trade. The market breadth was negative with advances at 654 against declines of 797 on the NSE.

The markets lost all the gains on Friday morning trade and closed flat. FMCG, IT, auto and consumer durables were the biggest gainers in Friday’s session while realty, power and metal tried to pull the indices down.

Nse India Top Gainers in Friday’s Trade: Tata Motors, Hul, Itc and Infosyis.

Nse India Top Losers in Friday’s Trade: Jindal Steel, Tata Power, Reliance Infra and Dlf.

Stock Cipher:

UltraTech and Lupin will be replacing SAIL and Sterlite in Nifty from Sept 28, 2012.
Cairn India has acquired 60% in offshore Block 1 in South Africa.
Dhanlaxmi bank is planning to cut stake in Destimoney from 13% to 5%.
Tata Global arm has bought the remaining 49% in Russian SuntyCo Holding.
US firm Santarus has sued Dr Reddy. It has accused Dr Reddy for infringing its patents on heartburn drug Zegerid.
Rupee at close: Rupee ends at 55.73 to the dollar vs 55.76 on Thursday.

FII DERIVATIVES DATA

FII bought 12876 Contracts of NF, worth 279 cores with net OI increasing by 8208 contracts.
As Nifty Future was up by 0.35 points and OI has increased by 8208, FII have used the dip to buy into Index futures.
Nifty Spot closed at 5366 after making a high of 5400; Bulls were unable to close nifty above 5380 resistance zone which shows the supply pressure coming at higher levels.
Resistance for Nifty has come up to 5390 and 5400 (as its swing high in Oct 2011) which needs to be watched closely ,Support now exists at 5328 and 5309 .Trend is still buy on Dips till 5244 is not broken on closing basis.
Nifty August OI is at 2.56 cores with an unwinding of 2.3 Lakh in OI, longs were liquidated by Retailers and HNI.As OI figure saw an unwinding of 1.19 lakhs i expect some good move tomorrow this is what we discussed on Thursday and on Friday we had a range of 72 points
Total F&O turnover was 1.25 lakh Cores with total contract traded at 2.4 lakh lowest in 2012.
5300 CE also saw an addition of 2.79 lakhs with total OI now standing at 41 lakhs ,5400 CE saw an addition of 1.85 lakhs and total OI stands at 67 lakhs making immediate ceiling for market, 5500 CE still having highest OI of 93 lakhs, , 5000-5600 CE saw an addition of 2.6 lakhs in OI.
On Put side 5000 PE saw an unwinding of 1.4 lakhs, strong support of Nifty as total OI at 1.01 core.5000-5500 PE added total of 7 lakhs in OI.5300 PE added 5 lakh in OI and having the OI at 91 lakhs which suggests traders are getting confident that 5300 will not break in near term and immediate support in any pullback.5400 PE also added 7.2 Lakh in OI and FII were net buyers of Options yesterday so are they are buying puts to hedge their longs.
FII bought 308 cores and DII bought 40 cores in cash segment. FII has sold 161 cores in stock futures.
Nifty Futures Trend Deciding level is 5387, Trend Changer at 5298 NIFTYF (Above this Level Bulls will rule Nifty/Below this levels Bears have upper hand).
5 DMA at 5356
20 DMA at 5244
50 DMA at 5212
200 DMA at 5115
5-Days Relative Strength Index at 72
14-Days Relative Strength Index at 64. It Indicates Nifty Placed in BULLISH precinct.

NIFTY: RESISTANCE @ It has the First resistance close to the level 5377 and above the level marks the track point at 5400 later zooper levels at 5444 marks.

SUPPORT@ It has the first support close to the level of 5355 and below this level mark next support is seen at 5333 later dipping levels near 5288 marks.

NIFTY FUT MOMENTUM CALLS FOR 21 Aug’2012:

Buy Nifty August Future above 5400 Sl 5377 Tgt 5422-5444 {Or} Sell Nifty August Future below 5355 Sl 5377 Tgt 5333-5311.

Nifty out Look & FII Data – 17 August’2012

Posted on August 17, 2012 by Sree Lakshmi Reddy

The Bse Index Closes on Thursday at 17657 down 71 Points or -0.40% and the Nifty fasten store at 5363, down 17 points from the previous close or -0.32%. The CNX Midcap index was down 0.2% while the BSE Small cap index gains 0.3% in Yesterdays Trade. The market breadth was negative with advances at 645against declines of 798 on the NSE.

The markets trade in a tapered range in yesterday and closed with temperate declines. FMCG, metal, consumer durables and banking were the biggest laggards in yesterday’s session while capital goods, oil & gas and auto gained drastically.

Nse India Top Gainers in Yesterday’s Trade: Idfc, Hero Moto corp, Ranbaxy and M&M

Nse India Top Losers in Yesterday’s Trade: Itc, Ster, Hindalco and Sesa Goa.

Stock Cipher:

Kingfisher Airlines has started paying the overdue salary to some employees. The March salary payment to ground staff and cabin crew has begun.
Orchid Chemicals Q1FY13 YoY net loss at Rs.51 cr vs profit of Rs.15.5 cr; net sales at Rs.315.6 cr vs Rs.373.8 cr.
Alok Industries is planning to shut 45 out of the 137 exclusive retail outlets next month.
Jain Irrigation Q1FY13 (YoY) net loss at Rs.16.8 cr vs profit of Rs.82.4 cr; net sales at Rs.848.6 cr vs Rs.931.3 cr.
Reliance Industries has proposed to drill exploration well in KG’ D6 block at own cost..
GVK Power has dropped the plan to develop SEZ in Tamil Nadu. The company has deferred work on seaport venture in Gujarat.
Oriental Bank of Commerce has cut the base rate by 10 bps to 10.40%.
Jet fuel prices have been hiked by over 3.2%.
Infosys visa case trial has been pushed to September 17 as judge seeks more time. The trial was to come up on August 20.
Wockhardt will be launching generic version of clot-buster drug Plavix in US.

FII DERIVATIVES DATA

FII sold 501 Contracts of Nifty, worth 14 cores with net OI increasing by 3799 contracts.
As Nifty Future was down by 25 points and OI has increased by 3799, FII have booked profits in longs in Index futures. Also be aware that today closing on NF is first double digits losses in August series.
Nifty Spot closed at 5363 after making a high of 5390,as said in Weekly analysis 5386 will be an important level as its 100 WSMA .As discussed earlier the range of 5350-80 is supply zone, cannot be broken in single attempt.
Resistance for Nifty has come up to 5390 and 5400 (as its swing high in Oct 2011) which needs to be watched closely ,Support now exists at 5340 and 5319 .Trend is still buy on Dips till 5238 is not broken on closing basis. We have weekly closing tomorrow and close above 5319 will keep weekly in uptrend
Nifty August OI is at 2.58 cores with an unwinding of 1.19 Lakh in OI, longs were liquidated by Retailers and HNI.As OI figure saw an unwinding of 1.19 lakhs i expect some good move tomorrow. We have a long weekend ahead as Monday is a Holiday on eve of EID.
Total F&O turnover was 0.86 lakh Cores with total contract traded at 1.58 lakh lowest in 2012. These were increase of 10% in cash market volumes which indicates distribution by smart money on higher levels.
5300 CE also saw an addition of 1.11 lakhs with total OI now standing at 38 lakhs (Smart bears writing calls) ,5400 CE saw an addition of 3.3 lakhs and total OI stands at 65 lakhs making immediate ceiling for market, 5500 CE still having highest OI of 92 lakhs, , 5000-5600 CE saw an addition of 10 lakhs in OI suggesting bears have have started getting warmed up.
On Put side 5000 PE saw an addition of 0.7 lakhs, strong support of Nifty as total OI at 1.02 core.5000-5500 PE unwounded total of 0.90 lakhs in OI.5300 PE added 0.36 lakh in OI and having the OI at 86 lakhs which suggests traders are getting confident that 5300 will not break in near term and immediate support in any pullback.
FII bought 95 cores and DII bought 225 cores in cash segment.INR closed at 55.71. FII has sold 341 cores in stock futures.
Nifty Futures Trend Deciding level is 5390, Trend Changer at 5290 NIFTY (Above this Level Bulls will rule Nifty/Below this levels Bears have upper hand).
5 DMA at 5347
20 DMA at 5238
50 DMA at 5205
200 DMA at 5115
5-Days Relative Strength Index at 71
14-Days Relative Strength Index at 64. It Indicates Nifty Placed in BULLISH precinct.

NIFTY: RESISTANCE @ It has the First resistance close to the level 5377 and above the level marks the track point at 5400 later zooper levels at 5444 marks.

SUPPORT@ It has the first support close to the level of 5355 and below this level mark next support is seen at 5333 later dipping levels near 5311 marks.

NIFTY FUT MOMENTUM CALLS FOR 17 Aug’2012:

Buy Nifty August Future above 5400 Sl 5377 Tgt 5422-5444 {Or} Sell Nifty August Future below 5355 Sl 5377 Tgt 5333-5311.

Nifty Out Look & FII Derivatives Data – 09 August’2012

Posted on August 9, 2012 by Sree Lakshmi Reddy

The Bse Index Closes on Wednesday at 17601 down 1 Points or -0.01% and the Nifty fasten store at 5338, up 1 points from the previous close or +0.02%. The CNX Midcap index was up 0.3% while the BSE Small cap index gains 0.4% in Yesterdays Trade. The market breadth was negative with advances at 582 against declines of 873 on the NSE.

It was an impulsive session in the markets today with both benchmark indices closing flat after on the brink both ways. Realty, banking and capital goods were the biggest losers in today’s session while auto and metal closed with noteworthy gains.

Nifty Top Gainers in Yesterday’s Trade: M&M, Bpcl, Hindalco and Grasim

Nifty Top Losers in Yesterday’s Trade: Bharati, Gail, Dlf and Pnb.

Stock Cipher:

VIP Industries Q1FY13 YoY net profit at Rs.23.5 cr vs Rs.38.4 cr; net sales at Rs.301.7 cr vs Rs.279.2 cr.
Bharti Airtel Q1 net profit at Rs 762.2 cr vs Rs 1006 cr (QoQ); net sales at Rs 19,350.1 cr vs Rs 18729.4 cr (QoQ).
Punj Lloyd Q1FY13 consolidated YoY net loss at Rs.13.4 cr vs loss of Rs.12.2 cr; net Sales at Rs.2,707 cr vs Rs.2,248.3 cr.
Sobha Developers Q1FY13 consolidated QoQ net profit at Rs.45 cr Vs Rs.96.8 cr; net sales at Rs.432 cr Rs.522 cr.
Bombay Dyeing Q1FY13 YoY loss at Rs.27.5 cr vs loss of Rs.40 cr; revenue at Rs.487 cr vs Rs 403 cr.
Veritas has advised to sell all Indiabulls Group stocks.
Bharti Airtel is planning offer for sale in Bharti Infratel. The company might sell 10% in Bharti Infratel via offer for sale. The board will take a call on Bharti Infratel listing.
Alembic Pharma is in product development and license agreement with Accu-Break. Accu-Break is a US-based pharma company.
Supreme Court has adjourned Essar Oil Sales Tax case to August 23.
Strides Arcolab has got US FDA nod for Oxaliplatin Injection. The company will launch Oxaliplatin Injection through Pfizer.
Kingfisher Airlines has cancelled 31 flights from Delhi and Mumbai due to employee strike.
Jet Airways finally decides to return plot in BKC; MMRDA may slap Rs 350 cr fine.
GVK Power Q1 cons net loss at Rs 64.3 cr Vs profit of Rs 58.9 cr (YoY); cons net sales at Rs 818.6 cr Vs Rs 612.3 cr (YoY).
Chambal Fertilisers Q1 net profit at Rs 77 cr Vs Rs 63.7 cr (YoY); total income Rs 1,364.4 cr Vs Rs 1,164.4 cr (YoY). Other Income at Rs 17.5 cr Vs Rs 30.4 cr (YoY).
Mahindra and Mahindra Q1 net profit at Rs 726 cr vs Rs 604.9 cr (YoY); net sales at Rs 9248 cr vs Rs 6628 cr (YoY). Other income at Rs 60 cr vs Rs 55 cr (YoY).
Oil India Q1 net profit at Rs 930 cr Vs Rs 849.6 cr (YoY); Total Income at Rs 2,440 cr Vs Rs 2,366.1 cr (YoY).
ABB Q2 net profit at Rs 51.6 cr Vs Rs 38.7 cr (YoY); net sales Rs 1,860 cr Vs Rs 1,693 cr (YoY)
Aban Offshore Q1 net profit at Rs 52 cr Vs Rs 88.6 cr (YoY); net sales at Rs 850 cr Rs 731.3 cr (YoY)
Rahul Dhir steps down as MD & CEO of Cairn India w.e.f. August 31. He steps down to pursue his entrepreneurial interests. P Elango will be appointed as Interim CEO of the company.

FII DERIVATIVES DATA

FII bought 28568 contracts of Nifty worth Rs. 709.97 Crores with Net Open Interest increasing by 11204 contracts.
As Nifty Futures up by 7 Points and OI has increased by 11204 contracts logically means FII have added longs in Index Future, but the data sheet says they have started exiting longs and started booking profits in long terms.
NF closed at 5338 after making high of farming a Gravestone Doji candle stick. This shows the inability of bulls to further push up prices. As mentioned earlier the range of 5350-5380 is a supply zone. Cannot be broken in a single attempt. Bulls tried today and failed. Tomorrow we have the IIP data and market can moves wild if data is not supportive
In 9 days of august OI Nifty Future has closely positive in all days expect 2 August, so such the power of liquidity drive rally. FII have added net 144640 in Open Interest when Nifty has moved 231 Points.
Nifty August OI is at 2.36 Crores with an additional of 4.73 Lakhs in OI, longs were again added.
Total F&O turnover was 1.5 lakh Crores with total contract traded at 2.6 lakhs
FII bought 1114 Crores and DII sold 794 Crores in cash segment. INR closes at 55.54

The Level 5333-77 has lot of Resistance. So some more time consolidation needed to jump over this level Bulls can seen close above 5377 if results and Data’s favor them. They can start journey to 5511.

On lower Side 5288 and 5244 are Next Steps. 5155 is most important support for bulls. A close below 5155 can lead Nifty towards 5066 and 4977.

Last Close at 5331 down 4 points, Last High at 5377 Low at 5331, Weekly High at 5377 and low at 5129 and 5 DMA at 5280, 20 DMA at 5204, 50 DMA at 5160 and 200 DMA at 5109.

5-Days Relative Strength Index at 80 and 14-Days Relative Strength Index at 63. It Indicates Nifty Placed in BULLISH precinct.

NIFTY: RESISTANCE @ It has the First resistance close to the level 5355 and above the level marks the track point at 5377 later zooper levels at 5400 marks.

SUPPORT@ It has the first support close to the level of 5311 and below this level mark next support is seen at 5288 later dipping levels near 5244 marks.

NIFTY FUT MOMENTUM CALLS FOR 09 Aug’2012:

Buy Nifty August Future above 5355 Sl 5311 Tgt 5377-5399 {Or} Sell Nifty August Future below 5311 Sl 5333 Tgt 5288-5266.