Nifty Out Look & FII Derivatives Data – 09 August’2012

The Bse Index Closes on Wednesday at 17601 down 1 Points or -0.01% and the Nifty fasten store at 5338, up 1 points from the previous close or +0.02%. The CNX Midcap index was up 0.3% while the BSE Small cap index gains 0.4% in Yesterdays Trade. The market breadth was negative with advances at 582 against declines of 873 on the NSE.

It was an impulsive session in the markets today with both benchmark indices closing flat after on the brink both ways. Realty, banking and capital goods were the biggest losers in today’s session while auto and metal closed with noteworthy gains.

Nifty Top Gainers in Yesterday’s Trade: M&M, Bpcl, Hindalco and Grasim

Nifty Top Losers in Yesterday’s Trade: Bharati, Gail, Dlf and Pnb.

 Stock Cipher:

  • VIP Industries Q1FY13 YoY net profit at Rs.23.5 cr vs Rs.38.4 cr; net sales at Rs.301.7 cr vs Rs.279.2 cr.
  • Bharti Airtel Q1 net profit at Rs 762.2 cr vs Rs 1006 cr (QoQ); net sales at Rs 19,350.1 cr vs Rs 18729.4 cr (QoQ).
  • Punj Lloyd Q1FY13 consolidated YoY net loss at Rs.13.4 cr vs loss of Rs.12.2 cr; net Sales at Rs.2,707 cr vs Rs.2,248.3 cr.
  • Sobha Developers Q1FY13 consolidated QoQ net profit at Rs.45 cr Vs Rs.96.8 cr; net sales at Rs.432 cr Rs.522 cr.
  • Bombay Dyeing Q1FY13 YoY loss at Rs.27.5 cr vs loss of Rs.40 cr; revenue at Rs.487 cr vs Rs 403 cr.
  • Veritas has advised to sell all Indiabulls Group stocks.
  • Bharti Airtel is planning offer for sale in Bharti Infratel. The company might sell 10% in Bharti Infratel via offer for sale. The board will take a call on Bharti Infratel listing.
  • Alembic Pharma is in product development and license agreement with Accu-Break. Accu-Break is a US-based pharma company.
  • Supreme Court has adjourned Essar Oil Sales Tax case to August 23.
  • Strides Arcolab has got US FDA nod for Oxaliplatin Injection. The company will launch Oxaliplatin Injection through Pfizer.
  • Kingfisher Airlines has cancelled 31 flights from Delhi and Mumbai due to employee strike.
  • Jet Airways finally decides to return plot in BKC; MMRDA may slap Rs 350 cr fine.
  • GVK Power Q1 cons net loss at Rs 64.3 cr Vs profit of Rs 58.9 cr (YoY); cons net sales at Rs 818.6 cr Vs Rs 612.3 cr (YoY).
  • Chambal Fertilisers Q1 net profit at Rs 77 cr Vs Rs 63.7 cr (YoY); total income Rs 1,364.4 cr Vs Rs 1,164.4 cr (YoY). Other Income at Rs 17.5 cr Vs Rs 30.4 cr (YoY).
  • Mahindra and Mahindra Q1 net profit at Rs 726 cr vs Rs 604.9 cr (YoY); net sales at Rs 9248 cr vs Rs 6628 cr (YoY). Other income at Rs 60 cr vs Rs 55 cr (YoY).
  • Oil India Q1 net profit at Rs 930 cr Vs Rs 849.6 cr (YoY); Total Income at Rs 2,440 cr Vs Rs 2,366.1 cr (YoY).
  • ABB Q2 net profit at Rs 51.6 cr Vs Rs 38.7 cr (YoY); net sales Rs 1,860 cr Vs Rs 1,693 cr (YoY)
  • Aban Offshore Q1 net profit at Rs 52 cr Vs Rs 88.6 cr (YoY); net sales at Rs 850 cr Rs 731.3 cr (YoY)
  • Rahul Dhir steps down as MD & CEO of Cairn India w.e.f. August 31. He steps down to pursue his entrepreneurial interests. P Elango will be appointed as Interim CEO of the company.

FII DERIVATIVES DATA

  • FII bought 28568 contracts of Nifty worth Rs. 709.97 Crores with Net Open Interest increasing by 11204 contracts.
  • As Nifty Futures up by 7 Points and OI has increased by 11204 contracts logically means FII have added longs in Index Future, but the data sheet says they have started exiting longs and started booking profits in long terms.
  • NF closed at 5338 after making high of farming a Gravestone Doji candle stick. This shows the inability of bulls to further push up prices. As mentioned earlier the range of 5350-5380 is a supply zone. Cannot be broken in a single attempt. Bulls tried today and failed. Tomorrow we have the IIP data and market can moves wild if data is not supportive
  • In 9 days of august OI Nifty Future has closely positive in all days expect  2 August, so such the power of liquidity drive rally. FII have added net 144640 in Open Interest when Nifty has moved 231 Points.
  • Nifty August OI is at 2.36 Crores with an additional of 4.73 Lakhs in OI, longs were again added.
  • Total F&O turnover was 1.5 lakh Crores with total contract traded at 2.6 lakhs
  • FII bought 1114 Crores and DII sold 794 Crores in cash segment. INR closes at 55.54

The Level 5333-77 has lot of Resistance. So some more time consolidation needed to jump over this level Bulls can seen close above 5377 if results and Data’s favor them. They can start journey to 5511.

On lower Side 5288 and 5244 are Next Steps. 5155 is most important support for bulls. A close below 5155 can lead Nifty towards 5066 and 4977.

Last Close at 5331 down 4 points, Last High at 5377 Low at 5331, Weekly High at 5377 and low at 5129 and 5 DMA at 5280, 20 DMA at 5204, 50 DMA at 5160 and 200 DMA at 5109.

5-Days Relative Strength Index at 80 and 14-Days Relative Strength Index at 63. It Indicates Nifty Placed in BULLISH precinct.

NIFTY: RESISTANCE @ It has the First resistance close to the level 5355 and above the level marks the track point at 5377 later zooper levels at 5400 marks.

SUPPORT@ It has the first support close to the level of 5311 and below this level mark next support is seen at 5288 later dipping levels near 5244 marks.

NIFTY FUT MOMENTUM CALLS FOR 09 Aug’2012:

Buy Nifty August Future above 5355 Sl 5311 Tgt 5377-5399 {Or} Sell Nifty August Future below 5311 Sl 5333 Tgt 5288-5266.

Market Outlook: Nifty Levels for 31 JULY’2012

The Bse Index Closes on Monday at 17144 up 304 Points or +1.81% and the Nifty shut shop at 5200, up 100 points from the previous close or +1.96%. The CNX Midcap index was up 1.7% while the BSE Small cap index gain 1.3% in Mondays Trade. The market breadth was positive with advances at 953 against declines of 491 on the NSE.

The markets made vigorous gains on Yesterday with all sectoral indices closing in the green. Realty, power, banking and capital goods were the best performers in Yesterday’s session and metal, consumer durables and auto, too, closed with substantial upside. Top Gainers in Yesterday’s Trade were Relaince Infra, JP Assosiates, Cairn India and Idfc & Losers were Ambuja Cement, Hul, Hcl Tech and Ongc.

Stock Cipher:

  • HDFC Q1FY13 consolidated YoY net profit at Rs 1275.8 cr vs Rs 1020 cr; Income from operations at Rs 5123 cr vs Rs 3990.3 cr .
  • Maruti Suzuki Q1FY13 YoY Net Profit at Rs 423.8 cr vs Rs 549.2 cr; Net Sales at Rs 10,529.2 cr vs Rs 8,256.6 cr.
  • Nestle India Q2FY13 YoY net profit at Rs 246 cr Vs Rs 213.8 cr (YoY); net sales at Rs 1,986.6 cr Vs Rs 1,763 cr (YoY) and repay interim dividend at 18/Share.
  • McLeod Russel Q1FY13 YoY Net Profit at Rs 19.3 cr Vs Rs 37.3 cr; Net Sales at Rs 143 cr Vs Rs 145.3 cr.
  • Motilal Oswal Fin Q1FY13 consolidated (YoY) net profit at Rs 20.2 cr vs Rs 21.2 cr; Income from operations at Rs 104.2 cr vs Rs 106.2 cr.
  • Thomas Cook India Q1FY13 Consolidated YoY Net Profit at Rs 31 cr vs Rs 21.5 cr; Net Sales at Rs 128 cr vs Rs 106 cr.
  • Alstom T&D India Q1FY13 YoY Net Profit at Rs 23 cr vs Rs 18 cr; Net Sales at Rs 671 cr vs Rs 663 cr .
  • Punjab & Sind Bank Q1FY13 YoY Net Profit at Rs 24 cr vs Rs 64.1 cr; NII at Rs 369 cr vs Rs 351 cr.
  • Grasim Q1 consolidated YoY Net Profit at Rs 718 cr vs Rs 751.7 cr; Total Income at Rs 6832 cr vs Rs 5907 cr.
  • United Spirits Q1FY13 YoY net profit at Rs 144.9 cr vs Rs 137.7 cr; net sales at Rs 2057.2 cr vs Rs 1935.4 cr.
  • Birla Corp Q1FY13 YoY Net Profit at Rs 84.74 cr vs Rs 111.9 cr; Income from ops at Rs 668.2 cr vs Rs 563.9 cr.
  • Bank of Baroda Q1 Net Profit at Rs 1,139 Cr Vs Rs 1,033 Cr (YoY).
  • Oriental Bank Q1 Net Profit at Rs 391 cr Vs Rs 355 cr (YoY); NII at Rs 1,126 cr Vs Rs 1,018 cr (YoY).
  • Allahabad Bank Q1 Net Profit at Rs 514 Cr Vs Rs 418 Cr (YoY).
  • Muthoot Finance Q1 Net Profit at Rs 246 Cr Vs Rs 190 Cr (YoY).
  • Indian Oil Bank Q1 net profit at Rs 233.4 cr vs Rs 205.5 cr (YoY); NII at Rs 1328 cr vs Rs 1187.5 cr (YoY)
  • Spice Jet Q1 net profit at Rs 56.2 cr vs loss of Rs 72 cr.
  • Havells India Q1 net profit at Rs 80 cr vs Rs 64.8 cr (YoY); net sales at Rs 1032.8 cr vs Rs 822.37 cr (YoY).
  • Sadbhav Engineering Q1 Net Profit at Rs 52.4 Cr Vs Rs 33.8 Cr (YoY); Total Income at Rs 421.5 Cr Vs Rs 612.9 Cr (YoY).
  • Sadbhav Engineering Q1 Net Profit at Rs 52.4 Cr Vs Rs 33.8 Cr (YoY); Total Income at Rs 421.5 Cr Vs Rs 612.9 Cr (YoY).

Last Close at 5199 up 100 points, Last High at 5206 Low at 5129, Weekly High at 5257 and low at 5032 and 5 DMA at 5116, 20 DMA at 5219, 50 DMA at 5112 and 200 DMA at 5102.

5-Days Relative Strength Index at 61 and 14-Days Relative Strength Index at 53. It Indicates Nifty Placed in BULLISH precinct.

NIFTY {5200}: RESISTANCE @ It has the First resistance close to the level 5222 and above the level marks the track point at 5244 later zooper levels at 5288 marks.

SUPPORT@ It has the first support close to the level of 5177 and below this level mark next support is seen at 5155 later dipping levels near 5111 marks.

NIFTY FUT MOMENTUM CALLS FOR 31 Jul’2012:

Buy Nifty August Future above 5222 Sl 5200 Tgt 5244-5266 {Or} Sell Nifty August Future below 5177 Sl 5200 Tgt 5155-5133.