Nifty Future & FII Derivative Data – 13 September’2012

  • Nifty Future made a fresh September series high today at 5453. IIP data came at 0.1 which is as per market expectation. Another important Global event German Court gave in favor of using ESM and Germany Can Ratify ESM Fund with Conditions so nothing is stopping Bulls. Always remember hot money chase the momentum and in liquidity driven rally fundamental will take the back seat. So do not waste your time in finding top and bottom, Stay with trend and mint money.
  • Top Nse India Gainers were: Tata Motors, LT, Jindal Steel and Tata Steel.
  • Top Nse India Losers Were: Siemens, Cipla, Ntpc and Bhel.

FII Derivative Data:

  • FII bought 18249 Contracts of Index Future, worth 437.39 cores  with net OI increasing by 13123 contracts.
  • As Nifty Future was up by 42 points and OI has increased by 13123, FII have imitated fresh long in Nifty and Bank Nifty Future. Momentum is on higher side and weakness is still not present in Nifty Future.
  • Nifty Spot closed at 5431 after making a high of 5436. Sensex has made a fresh 7 month high ie. 18012 so now its Nifty turn to break 5450.We have big gap from 5217-5309 formed on Friday and it’s been 5 days Bulls are able to defend the higher levels, Nifty continue to march higher after Monday consolidation. Also be noted Nifty has given highest close of 5331 on closing basis after it made the low of 4770
  • Resistance for Nifty has come up to 5450 and 5462 which needs to be watched closely ,Support now exists at 5424 and 5395 .Trend is Buy on Dips till 5339 is not broken on closing basis.
  • Nifty September OI is at 1.84 cores with a fresh addition of 5.5 Lakh in OI, long addition is seen in Nifty future.
  • Total F&O turnover was  1.16 lakh  Cores  with total contract traded at  2.18  lakh.PCR at 1.03 and VIX 15.03.Cash volumes show a jumped of 10% showing rise is backed by deliveries in Stocks.
  • 5600 CE  is having highest OI of 83 lakhs with an addition of 6 lakhs in OI.5500 CE is having second highest OI at  OI at 78  lakhs, Immediate resistance is at 5500 CE. 5000-5600 CE saw an unwinding of 2.6 lakhs in OI. So Bulls are all over the place.
  • 5300 PE added another 9 lakhs so 5300  and 5400 PE added huge 14 lakh, Bulls want to make the 5400 as base for the rest of September series.5000-5600 PE added  huge 29 lakhs in Open Interest so bulls are cementing ground for 5400 tomorrow. Now Bulls need to defend the 5400 base for rest of week.
  • FII bought 451 cores and DII sold 55.76 cores in cash segment, INR closed at 55.3. FII has bought 2ooo cores in cash market.
  • Nifty Futures Trend Deciding level is 5384, Trend Changer at 5324 NF. (Above this Level Bulls will rule Nifty/Below this levels Bears have upper hand).
  • 5 DMA at 5353
  • 20 DMA at 5341
  • 50 DMA at 5281
  • 200 DMA at 5138
  • 5 Days Relative Strengthen Index at 80 and 14 Days Relative Strengthen Index at 64. Indicates Nifty placed in BULLISH Zone.

Nifty Support & Resistance:

Nifty Resistance at It has the First resistance close to the level 5444 and above the level marks the track point at 5466 later zipper levels at 5488 marks.

Support at It has the first support close to the level of 5422 and below this level mark next support is seen at 5400 later dipping levels near 5377 marks.

Nifty Future Call for 13 Sep’2012:

Nifty Future Momentum Call – Buy above 5466 sl 5444 Tgt 5488-5511 {Or} Sell Below 5422 sl 5444 Tgt 5400-5377.

Bank Nifty Momentum Call for 13 Sep’2012:

Buy above 10266 sl 10222 Tgt 10311-10355 {Or} Sell below 10177 sl 10222 Tgt 10133-10088.

Nifty Outlook – 13 August’2012

The Bse Index put down the lid at 17557 down 3 points or -0.02% and Nifty Shut Stop at 5320 down 2 points or -0.05% from the previous close. CNX Midcap index was down 0.1% and BSE Small cap index was down 0.3%. The market breadth was negative with advances at 549 against declines of 878 on the NSE.

It was a passive close to a dull session for the Indian market which adage banks, autos and realty trade under pressure. However, some buying was seen in IT, FMCG and oil & gas stocks in a range bound picture.

Top Nse India Gainers were: Bpcl, Maruti Suzuki, Kotak Bank and Tcs

Top Nse India Lossers Were: Sbin, Tata Motors, Ranbaxy and bank of Baroda.

Market Signs:

  1. IFCI Q1 net profit at Rs 93.6 cr  vs Rs 132.1 cr (YoY); revenue at Rs 661 cr vs Rs 602.5 cr (YoY).
  2. GMR Infra Q1 cons net loss at Rs 94.3 cr vs Rs 66.7 cr (YoY); cons revenue at Rs 2,562 cr vs Rs 2089.8 cr (YoY).
  3. Reliance Infra will be seeking approval to raise funds via QIP (Qualified Institutional Placement). The fundraising will not exceed 25% of equity capital.
  4. PSU oil cos seek immediate hike in petrol prices.
  5. Welspun India Q1FY13 Consolidated YoY Net Profit at Rs 37.7 Cr Vs Rs.18.2 Cr.
  6. Reliance Communications seeks shareholders’ approval to increase its authorised share capital to 25 billion rupees.
  7. Credit Suisse downgraded Tata Motors to “underperform” from “neutral” after cutting its volumes forecast.
  8. Sun Pharma Advanced approves rights issue at a price of Rs 67/share.
  9. Bombay Dyeing loses mill land battle in SC; stock slips.
  10. SBI Q1 net profit at Rs 3,751.5 cr Vs Rs 1584 cr (YoY); NII at Rs 11,118.8 cr Vs Rs 9700 cr (YoY).
  11. Sakthi Sugars Q1 net profit at Rs 1.4 cr vs loss of Rs 10.4 cr (YoY); net sales at Rs 357 cr vs Rs 354.7 cr (YoY).
  12. Eros International Q1 Cons net profit at Rs 31.4 Cr Vs Rs 29.7 Cr (QoQ).
  13. Sun Pharma Q1 cons net profit at 795.5 cr vs Rs 501 cr (YoY); cons net sales at Rs 2,658 cr vs Rs 1,636 cr (YoY).
  14. Sundram Fasteners Q1 net profit at Rs 31.2 cr vs Rs 34.9 cr (YoY); net sales at Rs 570.8 cr vs Rs 510.8 cr (YoY).
  15. Bharat Forge Q1 net profit at Rs 105.2 cr vs Rs 97.4 cr (YoY); net sales at Rs 916.2 cr vs Rs 829.3 cr (YoY).
  16. BPCL Q1 net loss at Rs 8837 cr vs loss of Rs 2562 cr (YoY); GRM at USD 2.62/bbl Vs USD 4.20/bbl (QoQ).
  17. ONGC Q1 net profit at Rs 6077.7 cr vs Rs 4095 cr (YoY); net sales at Rs 20,084.3 cr vs Rs 16199 cr (YoY).

Last Close at 5320 down -2 points, Last High at 5300 and Last Low at 5294> Weekly High at 5330 and Weekly Low at 5129.

5 DMA at 5320

20 DMA at 5213

50 DMA at 5178

200 DMA at 5111.

5 Days Relative Strengthen Index at 70 and 14 Days Relative Strengthen Index at 61. Indicates Nifty placed in BULLISH Zone.

Nifty Resistance at It has the First resistance close to the level 5333 and above the level marks the track point at 5355 later zipper levels at 5377 marks.

Support at It has the first support close to the level of 5311 and below this level mark next support is seen at 5288 later dipping levels near 5266 marks.

Nifty Future Momentum Call for 13 Aug’2012:

Nifty Future Buy above 5377 sl 5355 Tgt 5399-5422 {Or} Nifty Future Sell Below 5333 sl 5355 Tgt 5311-5288.