MCX India Commodity Outlook & Intraday Trading Tips – 10 Apr’2013

Commodity Outlook - 10.04.2013GOLD MCX JUN:

Gold trading projected high range for the day is 29673-29820

Gold trading projected low range for the day is 29629-29482

Gold gained as volatility in currency market triggered by Japan’s aggressive monetary easing plan lifted bullion’s appeal

Prices also benefited after the U.S. government said wholesale inventories fell the most in nearly 1-1/2 years in February

SPDR gold trust holdings dropped by 4.94 tonnes to 1201 tonnes

Major Resistance on upside at 29754-29887-30020

Trend Deciding Level at 29592

Major Support on downside at 29459-29297-29164

SILVER MCX MAY:

Silver trading projected high range for the day is 52284-52925

Silver trading projected low range for the day is 51968-51327

Silver gained as a softer U.S. dollar supported prices while investors continued to speculate whether Fed will keep its loose monetary policy in place

Investors will closely monitor minutes from the Fed’s latest policy meeting, set to be released, for clues on U.S. monetary policy

Hopes that first-quarter earnings in the U.S. will meet expectations enticed investors out of the safe-haven greenback.

Major Resistance on upside at 52658-53194-53730

Trend Deciding Level at 51910

Major Support on downside at 51375-50628-50092

CRUDE MCX APR:

Crude trading projected high range for the day is 5139-5173

Crude trading projected low range for the day is 5113-5079

Crude oil ended with gains as a weak dollar and tame Chinese inflation data drew investors to commodities.

U.S. crude stockpiles rose by 5.1 million barrels during the week to April 5, data from the API showed

Today crude oil inventories: EXP: 1.6M PREV: 2.7M. Actual is at 8.00PM

Major Resistance on upside at 5161-5186-5211

Trend Deciding Level at 5118

Major Support on downside at 5093-5050-5025

COPPER MCX APR:

Copper trading projected high range for the day is 414.92-418.67

Copper trading projected low range for the day is 412.32-408.57

Copper ended with good gains as markets continued to absorb positive economic figures from China.

Workers at Chile’s state mining company Codelco went on a 24-hour strike on Tuesday to demand better job security and safety improvements

China’s central bank may keep its easing monetary policy in place, which will help financial markets and prices of bulk commodity rebound.

Warehouse stock for Copper at LME was at 587550mt that is up by 7950 MT.

Major Resistance on upside at 418-421-423

Trend Deciding Level at 412.65

Major Support on downside at 410-406-403

MENTHA OIL MCX APR:

Mentha Oil trading projected high range for the day is 1018-1030

Mentha Oil trading projected low range for the day is 1021-1009

Mentha Oil spot is at 1135/-. Spot market remains unchanged.

Mentha Oil ended lower on sluggish demand from consuming industries against increased supplies

The total area under cultivation is expected to rise by 20% at 2.1 lakh ha against last year’s 1.75 lakh ha.

At Barabanki, the total stock was 5, 64, 533 kg of which, physical stock accounted for 5, 63, 814 kg

Major Resistance on upside at 1024-1037-1050

Trend Deciding Level at 1012

Major Support on downside at 1000-989-976

NATURAL GAS MCX APR:

Natural Gas trading projected high range for the day is 222-225

Natural Gas trading projected low range for the day is 224-221

Natural gas ended with losses as investors took profits amid mild weather forecasts for the eastern half of the nation

Weather forecasters predicting mild temperatures in the key Midwest and East Coast markets also weighed.

Total U.S. natural gas in storage fell to 1.687 trillion cubic feet last week, 32% lower than last year at this time.

Major Resistance on upside at 223-227-231

Trend Deciding Level at 221

Major Support on downside at 217-215-211

Today Major Global Events:

Date

Time

Region

Event

Period

Survey

Prior

Impact

10-04-2013

16:30

US

MBA Mortgage Applications

5 Apr

-4.00%

Slightly

10-04-2013

23:30

US

Monthly Budget Statement

Mar

Positive

10-04-2013

23:30

US

Fed Release Minutes

—-

—-

Positive

10-04-2013

CH

Trade Balance [USD]

Mar

$15.15B

$15.25B

Slight

10-04-2013

—-

CH

Exports YoY%

Mar

11.70%

21.80%

Slight

10-04-2013

—-

CH

Imports YoY%

Mar

6.00%

-15.20%

Positive

10-15 Apr

—-

CH

Foreign Exchange Reserves

Mar

$3347.0B

$3310.B

Positive

10-15 Apr

CH

New Yuan Loans

Mar

890.0B

620.0B

Positive

10-15 Apr

CH

Money Supply – M2 [YoY]

Mar

14.60%

15.20%

—-

10-15 Apr

IN

Imports YoY%

Mar

2.60%

Negative

10-15 Apr

IN

Exports YoY%

Mar

—-

4.20%

Negative

Today Mcx & Ncdex  Intraday Calls:

BUY TURMERIC NCDEX MAY ABOVE 7100 SL 6980 TGT 7220-7360

SELL CRUDE OIL MCX APR BELOW 5125 SL 5150 TGT 5100-5075

SELL GOLD MCX JUN BELOW 29584 SL 29627 TGT 29556-29514