Nifty out Look & FII Derivative Data – 25 September’2012

The Bse Index Shuts at 18,674 down – 80 Points from its Previous Close or -0.42%. The Nse Index Shuts at 5670 down by -22 Points from its Previous Close or -0.38%.

  • Top Nse India Gainers were: Bhel,  Jindal Steel, Maruti and M&M.
  • Top Nse India Losers Were: Hdfc, Ongc, Sail and Itc.

FII Derivative Data:

  • FII sold 5167 Contracts of Index Future, worth 129.87 cores with net OI increasing by Huge 74249 contracts.
  • As Nifty Future was down by 25 points and Open Interest in Index Futures increased by 30452, FII have started booking profits on Index Future longs in Nifty and Bank Nifty Futures.
  • Nifty Spot closed at 5670 after making a high of 5710 and unable to break 5720, Bulls are in control of market and traders are getting overconfidence on taking longs which should be treated as caution whenever over optimism comes in market time to be cautious .Stock markets moves in direction which give maximum pain to traders to short term traders. So trade with strict stoploss as we are approaching expiry. After big rise on Friday we had a session of consolidation today.
  • Resistance for Nifty has come up to 5700 and 5720which needs to be watched closely, Support now exists at 5648 and 5618 .Trend is Buy on Dips till 5547 is not broken on closing basis.
  • Nifty Future September Open Interest is at 2.15 cores with a unwinding of 6.8 Lakh in OI, profit booking in longs is seen in Nifty future .Rollovers have started in NIfty Futures with addition of 21 lakhs in October series. Fresh longs are created in October series.
  • Total F&O turnover was 1.71 lakh Cores with total contract traded at 2.22 lakh. PCR at 0.95 and VIX   at 18.83.
  • 5800 CE is having highest Open Interest of 76 lakhs with fresh addition of 15 lakhs in OI.5700 CE Open Interest at 70  lakhs, with addition of 3 lakhs. Immediate support is at 5648 as 5600 CE sheded 3 lakhs as per Open Interest table.  5300-5900 CE added 12 lakhs in Open Interest.
  • 5600 PE added 3 lakh in Open Interest total OI at 78 Lakhs, Bulls want to make  5600 as base for September Series. 5300-5900 PE added 5.7 lakhs in Open Interest so option activity shows Bulls in wait and watch mode.
  • FII bought 1585 cores and DII  sold 1156 cores in cash segment, INR closed at 4 months high at 53.48  FII sold 387 cores in Stock Futures.
  • Nifty Futures Trend Deciding level is 5440, Trend Changer at 5680 Nifty. (Above this Level Bulls will rule Nifty/Below this levels Bears have upper hand).
  • 5 DMA at 5625
  • 20 DMA at 5410
  • 50 DMA at 5320
  • 200 DMA at 5162
  • 5 Days Relative Strengthen Index at 76 and 14 Days Relative Strengthen Index at 72. Indicates Nifty placed in BULLISH Zone.

Nifty Spot Support & Resistance:

Nifty Resistance at It has the First resistance close to the level 5688 and above the level marks the track point at 5733 later zipper levels at 5755 marks.

Support at It has the first support close to the level of 5666 and below this level mark next support is seen at 5644 later dipping levels near 5622 marks.

Nifty Future Momentum Call for 25 Sep’2012:

Buy above 5711 sl 5688 Tgt 5733-5755 {Or} Sell Below 5666 sl 5688 Tgt 5644-5622.

Bank Nifty Future Momentum Call for 25 Sep’2012:

Buy above 11466 sl 11422 Tgt 11555-11644 {Or} Sell below 11377 sl 1422 Tgt 11333-11288.

Nifty out Look & FII Derivative Data – 21 September’2012

The Bse Index Shuts at 18,350 down – 147 Points from its Previous Close or -0.79%. The Nse Index Shuts at 5555 down by -46 Points from its Previous Close or -0.82%.

  • Top Nse India Gainers were: M&M Fin Services, Hind Petrol, Sjvn Ltd and Indian Bulls Real Estate.
  • Top Nse India Losers Were: Ttk Prestige, Gmr Infra, Lanco Infra and Jay Prakash Power.
  • Technical correction is in place giving the breathing space to indicator and cooling off the steam of stocks. Consolidation before the next rally will help market to break the swing high of 5652 and March towards 5740. Expiry is just 5 days ahead.

FII Derivative Data:

  • FII sold 5957 Contracts of Index Future, worth 102.69 cores  with net OI decreasing by 33817 contracts.
  • As Nifty Future was down by 41 points and Open Interest in Index Futures decreased by 33817, FII have done profit booking in shorts which they created on Tuesday and coupled with profit booking in longs in Nifty and Bank Nifty Future.
  • Nifty Spot closed at 5554.25, after opening gap down making low of 5537 near our support of 5527 as mentioned, rest of day was consolidating in the range of 5581-5550.As we have said before Consolidation will be name of game for few days and same is happening in market We also have a small gap from 5581-5600 which will be filled eventually.
  • Resistance for Nifty has come up to 5581 and 5602 which needs to be watched closely ,Support now exists at 5537 and 5520 .Trend is Buy on Dips till 5485 is not broken on closing basis.
  • Nifty Future September Open Interest is at 2.18 cores with a fresh addition of 2.4 Lakh in OI, shorts addition is seen in Nifty future.
  • Total F&O turnover was 1.26 lakh Cores with total contract traded at 1.93 lakh. PCR at 1.17 and VIX jumped to 18.62.
  • 5700 CE  is having highest Open Interest of 73 lakhs with addition of 2.5 lakhs in OI Calls were written at 5700 as premium came down from 21 to 10 in single session. .5600 CE Open Interest at 69 lakhs, with addition of 6.3 lakhs. Immediate resistance is at 5600 as per Open Interest table. 5200-5800 CE added 2.4 lakhs in Open Interest, Bears gaining some strength at higher levels.FII Options OI saw an reduction of 4.3 lakhs means big move is round the corner.
  • 5500 PE added 3.9 lakh in Open Interest total OI at 75 Lakhs, Bulls want to make  5500 as base for September Series.5600 PE saw an unwinding of 5.4 lakhs in Open Interest ,so puts written by bulls ran for cover today. 5200-5800 PE unwounded 8.8 lakhs in Open Interest bulls getting jittery at higher levels. Any close below 5554 on Nifty Spot will favor bears in extreme short term (This is what we discussed yesterday and todays close 5554.75
  • FII sold 73 cores and DII sold 331 cores in cash segment, INR closed at 54.38. FII sold 428 cores in Stock Futures.
  • Nifty Futures Trend Deciding level is 5542, Trend Changer at 5405 Nifty. (Above this Level Bulls will rule Nifty/Below this levels Bears have upper hand).
  • 5 DMA at 5555
  • 20 DMA at 5382
  • 50 DMA at 5306
  • 200 DMA at 5156
  • 5 Days Relative Strengthen Index at 68 and 14 Days Relative Strengthen Index at 67. Indicates Nifty placed in BULLISH Zone.

Nifty Support & Resistance:

Nifty Resistance at It has the First resistance close to the level 5577 and above the level marks the track point at 5600 later zipper levels at 5622 marks.

Support at It has the first support close to the level of 5533 and below this level mark next support is seen at 5511 later dipping levels near 5488 marks.

Nifty Future Momentum Call for 21 Sep’2012:

Buy above 5577 sl 5555 Tgt 5600-5622 {Or} Sell Below 5333 sl 5555 Tgt 5511-5488.

Bank Nifty Momentum Call for 21 Sep’2012:

Buy above 10977 sl 10933 Tgt 11066-11115 {Or} Sell below 10888 sl 110933 Tgt 10844-10800.

Nifty Outlook & FII Derivative Data – 04 September’2012

  • The Bse Index put up the lid at 17384 down 45 points or -0.26% and Nifty Shut Stop at 5254, down 5 points or -0.09% from the previous close. CNX Midcap index was up 0.1% and BSE Small cap index was gained 0.2% in Yesterday’s Trade. The market breadth was positive with advances at 780 against declines of 635 on the NSE.
  • The stock markets closed with moderate declines today with realty being the most awful performer.
  • PMI data Purchasing Manufacturing Index was released for European countries and India Summing the data Indicates 80% Of the World Is Now in Contraction. Chinese stock market last week made 3 year low, we always say stock market discounts news well in advance and on Sunday we got the news Chinese PMI contracted first time in 9 months. Never fight the market and flow with the trend is the general hypothesis which has been proven correct before, today and in future also.
  • Top Nse India Gainers were: Ranbaxy, Coal India,Baja-Auto and Maruti.
  • Top Nse India Lossers Were: Sail, Tata Poer, Jindal Steel and Idfc.

FII Derivative Data:

  • FII sold 6935 Contracts of Index Future, worth 190 cores with net OI decreasing by 6289 contracts.
  • As Nifty Future was down by 8 points and OI has decreased by 6289,so profit booking happened on longs carried by FII in August Series. So FII have been reducing the long exposure in Index future and shorting stock futures.
  • Nifty Spot closed at 5254 after making the higher low of 5243, but bulls were disappointed as Nifty closed below crucial level of 5260. Only we have been advocating Nifty is in Sell on Rise mode which proved again today as Nifty used the weekend development on GAAR issue to open up but selling resumed at higher levels and closed near the lows of the day.
  • Resistance for Nifty has come up to 5295 and 5315 which needs to be watched closely ,Support now exists at 5238 and 5220 .Trend is Sell on Rise till 5335 is not broken on closing basis.
  • Nifty September OI is at 1.97 cores with an addition of 1.47 Lakh in OI, So shorts have started entering the system. Rollover range for September Series comes at 5400-5290. We have closed below 5290 today so we can see follow up action tomorrow bears pressing more on downside.
  • Total F&O turnover was highest ever to 0.76 lakh Cores with total contract traded at 1.92 lakh. Cash volumes were dismissal today.
  • 5400 CE is having highest OI of 57 lakhs with an addition of 9.5 lakhs in OI. 4900-5600 CE added 29 lakhs in OI.
  • 5200 PE added 4.8 lakh in OI and having the highest  OI at 63 lakhs so 5200 is firm base at the starting of September series,4900 PE added 10 lakh in OI and FII were net buyers of 1117 cores in Index Options, so smart money is Buying 4900 PE.4900-5600 PE added 29 lakhs in OI.
  • FII  sold 54 cores and DII  sold 160 cores in cash segment, Both FII and DII were sellers in cash segment second day in a row.INR closed at 55.52 . FII were again sellers of 254 cores in Stock futures.
  • Nifty Futures Trend Deciding level is at 5239, Trend Changer at 5303 Nifty. (Above this Level Bulls will rule Nifty/Below this levels Bears have upper hand).
  • 5 DMA at 5290
  • 20 DMA at 5335
  • 50 DMA at 5260
  • 200 DMA at 51210
  • 5 Days Relative Strengthen Index at 24 and 14 Days Relative Strengthen Index at 44. Indicates Nifty placed in BEARISH Zone.

Nifty Support & Resistance:

Nifty Resistance at It has the First resistance close to the level 5266 and above the level marks the track point at 5288 later zipper levels at 5311 marks.

Support at It has the first support close to the level of 5244 and below this level mark next support is seen at 5222 later dipping levels near 5200 marks.

Nifty Future Momentum Call for 04 Sep’2012:

Nifty Future Call – Buy above 5288 sl 5266 Tgt 5311-5333 {Or} Sell Below 5266 sl 5266 Tgt 5244-5222.

Market Weekly Outlook 03-07 September’2012

  • The market is likely to be volatile this week.
  • Automobile and cement stocks will be focus as companies from these two sector start unveil monthly sales volume data for August 2012 from Saturday, 1 September 2012.
  • Market Economics will unveil HSBC India Manufacturing Managers’ Index (PMI) for August 2012 on Monday, 3 September 2012. On Wednesday, 5 September 2012, Market Economics will unveil HSBC India Services PMI for August 2012.
  • The HSBC India Manufacturing PMI, which gauges business activity at India’s factories but not utilities, fell to 52.9 in July, from 55 in June ~ its biggest one-month drop since September last year. Still, the index has remained above the 50 mark that divides growth and contraction for more than three years. Manufacturing accounts for around 15% of India’s gross domestic product.
  • In Europe, European Central Bank (ECB) holds its monthly policy meeting on euro area interest rates on Thursday, 6 September 2012. The ECB slashed its interest rates to an all-time low in July. The ECB is expected to continue its easing cycle, probably as soon as in September, to help the economic recovery of recession- and crisis-ridden members of the euro zone.
  • German Chancellor Angela Merkel holds a meeting with Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy on Thursday, 6 September 2012.
  • UK’s central bank — The Bank of England — holds its monthly meeting on interest rates on Thursday, 6 September 2012.
  • The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds a two-day meeting on US interest.

Nifty Weekly View:

  • Nifty taking Support @ 50DMA. Now 50 DMA @ 5258. As per Trend line another gigantic Support at 5200. Any Close below this 5200, will Drag Nifty 200 DMA at 5120 levels.
  • On the Upside Bulls have a seen close above 5355 and then a close above 5400. After then can move towards 5488 and 5577 levels.
  • Our short term target for Nifty: The Minimum Target will be 4700+1097 = 5867.

So these levels should be noted carefully to found further Support and Resistance.

  • Nifty made low on 20-12-2011 @ 4531 Nifty made high on 22-02-2012 @ 5628 Total Rally is 1097 Points. 75% correction of 1097 is 822 @ 4805. Nifty may bounce from 4770 levels. The minimum Target will be 4770+1097= 5867. Only Close below 4977 will terminate above view.
  • Nifty weekly Range will be at 5200-5244-5288-5355-5400-5438
  • Weekly Resistance at  5355-5400-5488
  • Weekly Axle at 5288
  • Weekly Support at 5244-5200.

Gold Weekly View

  • Gold Mcx October as seen in the weekly chart above has opened at 30,984.00 initially moved lower, and as expected found very good support at 30,656.00 levels. Later prices rallied sharply towards 31,405 levels and finally closed sharply higher from the previous weeks closing levels.
  • This week we expect gold prices to find Support at 31,130.00–31,000.00 levels and further below strong support is seen at 30,860.00-30,830.00 levels. Trading consistently below 30,820.00 levels would trigger sharp correction initially towards 30,382.00 then 30,198.00 and then finally towards the major support at 29,756.00 levels.
  • Resistance is observed in the range of 31,600.00-31,630.00 levels. Trading consistently above 31,630 levels would lead towards the strong resistance at 31,880.00levels, and then finally towards the Major resistance at 32,200.00 levels.

 Gold Trading levels for the week:

  • Trend: UP
  • Support at 31,130.000-30,860.00
  • Resistance at 31,600.00-31,800.00
  • Advice: Buy Gold Mcx Oct Around 31,140.00-31,000.00 SL 30,700.00 Target 31,600.00

                                                                           {Or}

               Sell Gold Mcx Oct Around 31,840.00-31,880.00 SL 32,160.00 Target 31,500.00

Silver Weekly View

  • Silver Mcx December as seen in the weekly chart above has opened at 59,700.00 levels initially moved lower, but found support at 58,601.00 levels. Later prices rallied sharply towards 61,170.00 levels, and finally closed sharply higher from the previous weeks closing levels.
  • This week we expect Silver prices to find support in the range of 60,240.00-60,200.00 levels and then strong support is seen at 59,300.00-59,250.00 levels. Trading consistently below 59,240.00 levels would trigger correction initially towards 58,240.00 levels and then finally towards the major support at 57,670.00 levels.
  • Resistance is now observed in the range of 61,880.00-61,940.00 levels. Trading consistently above 61,940.00 levels would lead towards the strong resistance at 62,800.00 levels and then finally towards the major Resistance at 63,400.00 levels.

Silver Trading levels for the week:

  • Trend: Up
  • Support at 60,240.00-59,300.00
  • Resistance at 61,880.00-62,800.00 
  • Advice: Buy Silver Mcx Dec Around 60240-60140 SL 59200 Target 61300.

                                                                              {Or}

               Sell Silver Mcx Dec Around 61940-61880 SL 62400 Target 61500-60850.

Copper Weekly View:

  • Copper Mcx November as seen in the weekly chart above has opened at 431.15 levels initially moved higher, but found strong resistance at 432.90 levels. Later prices fell sharply towards 423.00 levels and finally closed lower from the previous weeks closing levels.
  • This week we expect Copper prices to find support in the range of 422.50-421.50 levels and further below strong support is seen at 417.80-416.80 levels. Daily closing below 416.80 levels would indicate that a short term top has been posted and thereby correction can be expected initially towards 413 and then finally towards 408.80 levels.
  • Resistance is now observed in the range of 431-433 levels. Trading consistently above 433 levels would lead towards the strong resistance at 437.60 and then finally towards the major resistance at 441.10 levels.

Copper Trading levels for the week:

  • Trend: Side-Ways
  • Support at 422.50-417.80
  • Resistance at 431.10-437.60
  • Advice:  Buy Copper MCX Nov Around 422.50-421.50 SL 417 Target 428-431.

Crude Weekly View:

  • Crude Mcx September as seen in the weekly chart above has opened at 5363.00 levels initially moved sharply higher and as expected found good resistance at 5424.00 levels. Later prices fell sharply towards 5257.00 levels and finally closed marginally higher from the previous weeks closing levels.
  • This week we expect Crude prices to find support at 5295.00-5285.00 levels. Trading consistently below 5280.00 levels would lead towards the strong support at 5130.00-5110.00 levels. Daily closing below 5100.00 levels would indicate that the current rally has come to end and thereby correction can be expected initially towards 4990.00 levels and then finally towards the major support at 4893.00 levels.
  • Resistance is now observed in the range of 5456.00-5466.00 levels. Trading consistently above 5470.00 levels would extend the previous week’s rally initially towards 5548.00 levels and then finally towards the Major resistance at 5625.00 levels.

Crude Oil Trading levels for the week:

  • Trend: Up
  • Support at 5295.00-5130.00
  • Resistance at 5456.00-5548.00
  • Advice:  Buy Crude Mcx Sep Around 5300-5290 SL 5235 Target 5365-5450.

Economic Indicators For The Week:

Date & Time

Region

Events

Period

Survey

Prior

09/03/2012 & 06:30

CH

Non-Manufacturing PMI

Aug

55.6

09/03/2012 & 08:00

CH

HSBC Manufacturing PMI

Aug

49.3

09/03/2012 & 10:30

JN

Vehicle Saies {YoY}

Aug

36.10%

09/03/2012 & 10:02

GE

PMI Manufacturing

Aug F

45.1

45.1

09/03/2012 & 13:30

EC

PMI Manufacturing

Aug F

45.3

45.3

09/03/2012 & 14:00

UK

PMI Manufacturing

Aug

46.1

45.4

09/04/2012 & 14:30

EC

Euro-Zone PPI {MoM}

Jul

0.20%

-0.50%

09/04/2012 & 19:30

US

ISM Manufacturing

Aug

50

48

09/04/2012 & 19:30

US

ISM Price Paid

Aug

46

39.5

09/04/2012 & 19:30

US

Construction Spending MoM

Jul

0.4%

0.4%

09/05/2012 & 02:30

US

Total Vehicle Sales

Aug

14.20M

14.05M

09/05/2012 & 02:30

US

Domestic Vehicle Sales

Aug

11.05M

11.00M

09/05/2012 & 8:00

CH

HSBC Services PMI

Aug

53.1

09/05/2012 &13:25

GE

PMI Services

Aug F

48.3

48.3

09/05/2012 &13:30

EC

PMI Composite

Aug F

46.6

46.6

09/05/2012 & 13:30

EC

PMI Services

Aug F

47.5

47.5

09/05/2012 & 14:30

EC

Euro-Zone Retail Sales(MoM)

Jul

-0.20%

0.10

09/05/2012 & 16:30

US

MBA Mortgage Application

31-Aug

-4.30%

09/05/2012 & 18:00

US

Nonfarm Productivity

2QF

1.80%

1.60%

09/05/2012 & 18:00

US

Unit Labor cost

2QF

1.40%

1.70%

09/06/2012 & 14:30

EC

Euro Zone GDP s.a.(QoQ)

2QP

-0.20%

-0.20%

09/06/2012 & 15:30

GE

Factory Orders MoM (sa)

Jul

0.30%

-1.70%

09/06/2012 & 16:30

UK

BOE ANNOUNCES RATES

6-Sep

0.50&%

0.50%

09/06/2012 & 17:15

EC

ECB Announces Interest Rates

6-Sep

0.50%

0.75%

09/06/2012 & 17:45

US

EDP Employment Change

Aug

145K

165K

09/06/2012 & 18:00

US

Continuing Claims

25-Aug

3315K

3316K

09/06/2012 & 19:30

US

ISM Non-Manf.Composite

Aug

52.5

52.6

09/07/2012 & 11:30

GE

Export SA(MoM)

Jul

-0.50%

-1.05%

09/07/2012 & 11:30

GE

Imports SA {MoM}

Jul

-0.30%

-3.00%

09/07/2012 & 11:30

GE

Current Account {Euro}

Jul

13.5B

16.5B

09/07/2012 & 11:30

GE

Trade Balance

Jul

15.3B

17.9B

09/07/2012 & 14:00

UK

Industrial Production {MoM}

Jul

1.50%

-2.50%

09/07/2012 & 14:00

UK

Manufacturing production {MoM}

Jul

1.80%

-2.90%

09/07/2012 & 15:30

GE

Industrial Production MoM {Sa}

Jul

0.00%

-0.90%

09/07/2012 & 18:00

US

Change in Non Farm Payrolls

Aug

125K

163K

09/07/2012 & 18:00

US

Change in Private Payrolls

Aug

140K

172K

09/07/2012 & 18:00

US

Change In Manufact. Payrolls

Aug

10K

25K

09/07/2012 & 18:00

US

Unemployment Rate

Aug

8.30%

8.30%

07-12 Sep

GE

Whole Sale Price Index {Mom}

Aug

—-

0.30%

Nifty out Look, FII Derivative Data, Nifty Future Momentum Call – 29 August’2012

The Bse Index put down the lid at 17632 down 47 points or -0.27% and Nifty Shut Stop at 5335 down 15 points or -0.29% from the previous close. CNX Midcap index was down 1% and BSE Small cap index was down 1.4% in Yesterday’s Trade. The market breadth was negative with advances at 335 against declines of 1096 on the NSE.

The markets closed with moderate declines today with metal taking a severe beating.

Top Nse India Gainers were: Power Grid, Tcs, Asian Paints and Dr. Reddy.

Top Nse India Lossers Were: Ster, Jindal Steel, Jp  Assosiates and Hindalco.

FII Derivative Data:

  • FII bought 15439 Contracts of Index Future, worth 433 cores with net OI increasing by huge 69021 contracts.
  • As Nifty Future was down by 16 points and OI has increased by 69021, FII have created fresh longs in index futures ahead of expiry. FII buying is quiet visible even though mid caps and small cap Index were down by 1.1.5% NF was down by just 16 points.
  • Nifty Spot closed at 5335 after making the low of 5313; Bulls were under pressure from morning as they 5341 got broken on Nifty. Bears were unable to break the crucial support of 5313 which also is the low for today, shows next 2 days Bulls can be on roar if 5300 is not broken tomorrow.
  • Resistance for Nifty has come up to 5361 and 5392 which needs to be watched closely ,Support now exists at 5313 and 5294 .Trend is still buy on Dips till 5325 is not broken on closing basis.
  • Nifty August OI is at 2.0 cores with an unwinding of 32 Lakh in OI, but the same got rollover to September Series. September Series OI is at 1.16 lakhs so 32 lakhs got rollover and 24 lakh extra addition in OI. Longs are getting rollover to next series.
  • Total F&O turnover was 1.73 lakh Cores with total contract traded at 2.66 lakh, Volumes were quiet high today looking at brutal fall we have seen in mid caps stocks Adani, JIndals.
  • 5300 CE also saw an addition of 5 lakhs with total OI now standing at 34 lakhs. 5400 CE saw an addition of 18 lakhs and total OI stands at 85 lakhs so 5400 CE writers are assuming Nifty will expire below 5400 and they can eat the whole premium, 5400 is immediate ceiling for the market.
  • 5300 PE sheded 12 lakh in OI and having the OI at 95 lakhs which suggests traders are getting little jittery that 5300 will not break in August Expiry.5400 PE unwounded 13 Lakh in OI. So as NF closed below 5400 third day running,  and Put writers got jittery as Nifty came near 5313. 5300 seems a strong base and 5400 strong resistance for next 2 days.FII net sold 877 cores in Options suggesting profit booking in Put option as they saw a huge unwinding of 25 lakhs basically in 5300 and 5400 PE.
  • FII bought 93 cores and DII sold 314 cores in cash segment.INR closed at 55.6. FII were again sellers of 551 cores in Stock futures.
  • Nifty Futures Trend Deciding level is 5328, Trend Changer at 5327 NF (Above this Level Bulls will rule Nifty/Below this levels Bears have upper hand).
  • 5 DMA at 5380
  • 20 DMA at 5325
  • 50 DMA at 5247
  • 200 DMA at 5118.
  • 5 Days Relative Strengthen Index at 434 and 14 Days Relative Strengthen Index at 54. Indicates Nifty placed in NEUTRAL Zone.

Nifty Support & Resistance:

Nifty Resistance at It has the First resistance close to the level 5355 and above the level marks the track point at 5400 later zipper levels at 5444 marks.

Support at It has the first support close to the level of 5311 and below this level mark next support is seen at 5288 later dipping levels near 5266 marks.

Nifty Future Momentum Call for 29 Aug’2012:

Nifty Future Buy above 5355 sl 5333 Tgt 5400-5444{Or} Nifty Future Sell Below 5311 sl 5333 Tgt 5288-5266.

Market Outlook: Nifty Levels for 31 JULY’2012

The Bse Index Closes on Monday at 17144 up 304 Points or +1.81% and the Nifty shut shop at 5200, up 100 points from the previous close or +1.96%. The CNX Midcap index was up 1.7% while the BSE Small cap index gain 1.3% in Mondays Trade. The market breadth was positive with advances at 953 against declines of 491 on the NSE.

The markets made vigorous gains on Yesterday with all sectoral indices closing in the green. Realty, power, banking and capital goods were the best performers in Yesterday’s session and metal, consumer durables and auto, too, closed with substantial upside. Top Gainers in Yesterday’s Trade were Relaince Infra, JP Assosiates, Cairn India and Idfc & Losers were Ambuja Cement, Hul, Hcl Tech and Ongc.

Stock Cipher:

  • HDFC Q1FY13 consolidated YoY net profit at Rs 1275.8 cr vs Rs 1020 cr; Income from operations at Rs 5123 cr vs Rs 3990.3 cr .
  • Maruti Suzuki Q1FY13 YoY Net Profit at Rs 423.8 cr vs Rs 549.2 cr; Net Sales at Rs 10,529.2 cr vs Rs 8,256.6 cr.
  • Nestle India Q2FY13 YoY net profit at Rs 246 cr Vs Rs 213.8 cr (YoY); net sales at Rs 1,986.6 cr Vs Rs 1,763 cr (YoY) and repay interim dividend at 18/Share.
  • McLeod Russel Q1FY13 YoY Net Profit at Rs 19.3 cr Vs Rs 37.3 cr; Net Sales at Rs 143 cr Vs Rs 145.3 cr.
  • Motilal Oswal Fin Q1FY13 consolidated (YoY) net profit at Rs 20.2 cr vs Rs 21.2 cr; Income from operations at Rs 104.2 cr vs Rs 106.2 cr.
  • Thomas Cook India Q1FY13 Consolidated YoY Net Profit at Rs 31 cr vs Rs 21.5 cr; Net Sales at Rs 128 cr vs Rs 106 cr.
  • Alstom T&D India Q1FY13 YoY Net Profit at Rs 23 cr vs Rs 18 cr; Net Sales at Rs 671 cr vs Rs 663 cr .
  • Punjab & Sind Bank Q1FY13 YoY Net Profit at Rs 24 cr vs Rs 64.1 cr; NII at Rs 369 cr vs Rs 351 cr.
  • Grasim Q1 consolidated YoY Net Profit at Rs 718 cr vs Rs 751.7 cr; Total Income at Rs 6832 cr vs Rs 5907 cr.
  • United Spirits Q1FY13 YoY net profit at Rs 144.9 cr vs Rs 137.7 cr; net sales at Rs 2057.2 cr vs Rs 1935.4 cr.
  • Birla Corp Q1FY13 YoY Net Profit at Rs 84.74 cr vs Rs 111.9 cr; Income from ops at Rs 668.2 cr vs Rs 563.9 cr.
  • Bank of Baroda Q1 Net Profit at Rs 1,139 Cr Vs Rs 1,033 Cr (YoY).
  • Oriental Bank Q1 Net Profit at Rs 391 cr Vs Rs 355 cr (YoY); NII at Rs 1,126 cr Vs Rs 1,018 cr (YoY).
  • Allahabad Bank Q1 Net Profit at Rs 514 Cr Vs Rs 418 Cr (YoY).
  • Muthoot Finance Q1 Net Profit at Rs 246 Cr Vs Rs 190 Cr (YoY).
  • Indian Oil Bank Q1 net profit at Rs 233.4 cr vs Rs 205.5 cr (YoY); NII at Rs 1328 cr vs Rs 1187.5 cr (YoY)
  • Spice Jet Q1 net profit at Rs 56.2 cr vs loss of Rs 72 cr.
  • Havells India Q1 net profit at Rs 80 cr vs Rs 64.8 cr (YoY); net sales at Rs 1032.8 cr vs Rs 822.37 cr (YoY).
  • Sadbhav Engineering Q1 Net Profit at Rs 52.4 Cr Vs Rs 33.8 Cr (YoY); Total Income at Rs 421.5 Cr Vs Rs 612.9 Cr (YoY).
  • Sadbhav Engineering Q1 Net Profit at Rs 52.4 Cr Vs Rs 33.8 Cr (YoY); Total Income at Rs 421.5 Cr Vs Rs 612.9 Cr (YoY).

Last Close at 5199 up 100 points, Last High at 5206 Low at 5129, Weekly High at 5257 and low at 5032 and 5 DMA at 5116, 20 DMA at 5219, 50 DMA at 5112 and 200 DMA at 5102.

5-Days Relative Strength Index at 61 and 14-Days Relative Strength Index at 53. It Indicates Nifty Placed in BULLISH precinct.

NIFTY {5200}: RESISTANCE @ It has the First resistance close to the level 5222 and above the level marks the track point at 5244 later zooper levels at 5288 marks.

SUPPORT@ It has the first support close to the level of 5177 and below this level mark next support is seen at 5155 later dipping levels near 5111 marks.

NIFTY FUT MOMENTUM CALLS FOR 31 Jul’2012:

Buy Nifty August Future above 5222 Sl 5200 Tgt 5244-5266 {Or} Sell Nifty August Future below 5177 Sl 5200 Tgt 5155-5133.

Market Outlook: Nifty Levels for 04 JULY 2012

Real Estate StocksReal estate, metals & banks help the market close in the green after a monotonous session which saw the indices trade flat for most part. The range for the day was a sheer 40 point with infrastructure keeping the market down.

The Bse Index closes at 17425 up 26 points or +0.15% & Nifty closes at 5287, up 9 points from the previous close or +0.18%. CNX Midcap index was up 0.6% % and the BSE Small cap index was up 0.8%. The market breadth was positive with advances at 893 against declines of 560 on the NSE.

Today also consolidation going on. The level 5311-5333 seems to be good Resistance

Last Close at 5288 up 10 points, Last High at 5326 Low at 5266, Weekly High at 5316 and low at 5095 and 5 DMA at 5227, 20 DMA at 5128, 50 DMA at 5048 and 200 DMA at 5078

5-Days Relative Strength Index at 60 and 14-Days Relative Strength Index at 67. It Indicates Nifty Placed in Bullish Zone.

RESISTANCE: It has the First resistance close to the level 5311 & above the level marks the track point at 5333 later zooper level at 5355 mark.

SUPPORT:  It has the first support close to the level of 5266 & below this level mark next support is seen at 5244 later dipping level near 5222 mark.

Market Outlook: Nifty Levels for 21 JUNE 2012

Nifty IndexThe Nifty bounce back by the cement sector from the lows of the day helped the market close with modest gains following a passive and range bound session. Volumes were good and sectors that saw green led were as autos, metal stocks and infra.

The Bse Index closes at 16896 up 36 points or 0.22% & Nifty closes at 5120, up 16 points or 0.33% from the previous close. CNX Midcap index was up 1.1 % and the BSE Small cap index was up 0.8%. The market breadth was positive with advances at 896 against declines of 519 on the NSE.

Last Close at 5120 Up 17 Points, Last High at 5141 Low at 5100, Weekly High at 5190 and low at 5015 and 5 DMA at 5096, 20 DMA at 5007, 50 DMA at 5062 and 200 DMA at 5070

RESISTANCE: It has the First nifty resistance close to the level 5133 & above the level marks the track point at 5155 later zooper level at 5177 mark.

SUPPORT:  It has the first support close to the level of 5088 & below this level mark next support is seen at 5066 later dipping level near 5044 mark.